The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dinamo St. Petersburg 35.8%
Draw 24.4%
Torpedo-Gorky 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
24.4%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
27.5%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo St. Petersburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo-Gorky, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dinamo St. Petersburg - Torpedo Gorky Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Kulikov D. (G)
1. Zinaddin L. (G)
67. Sarayev V.
17. Alexandrov D. (A)
26. Salakhov M. (A)
3. Steklov K.
11. Yezhov I.
70. Gazizov R.
9. Davydov D.
87. Opalev R. (A)
97. Ugolnikov I.
67. Savunov D.
Line 2
79. Tikhonov M.
33. Bochkov I. (C)
33. Smirnov N.
59. Nikitin Y.
96. Zinchenko I.
15. Avershin D.
93. Zugan D.
41. Fyodorov V.
23. Kotkov V.
66. Misnikov A.
Line 3
14. Nurgaliyev E.
28. Dryagilev A.
7. Kozlovsky Y. (A)
24. Pelevin A.
99. Boikov L.
93. Pugachyov G.
42. Zhukenov D.
89. Stalnov D.
56. Kazakovtsev I.
78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
Line 4
76. Stepanov D.
5. Zharkov I.
47. Grebenshchikov S.
10. Odinokov S.
78. Nechayev A.
84. Utkin M.
94. Pukhov N. (C)
23. Chesnokov G.
Substitutes
22. Velmakin Y. (G)
22. Golan I.
31. Sokolov M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
01:54, 1 - 0, Kazakovtsev I. (G), Zhukenov D. (A),
02:39, 1 - 1, Chesnokov G. (G), Steklov K. (A), Nikitin Y. (A2)
19:12, 1 - 2, Dryagilev A. (G), Opalev R. (A), Savunov D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:22, 1 - 3, Utkin M. (G), Pelevin A. (A), Misnikov A. (A2)
17:30, 2 - 3, Grebenshchikov S. (G), Zhukenov D. (A), Stepanov D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:55, 2 - 4, Orlovich-Grudkov D. (G), Nikitin Y. (A), Misnikov A. (A2)
19:54, 2 - 5, Gazizov R. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 2.
Dinamo SP is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Torpedo-Gorky has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Dinamo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Dinamo SP has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 2.8:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo SP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 3:2).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
19
Dinamo St. Petersburg
11
4
1
1
5
30:36
11
Last Results with these Odds
Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.62%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Torpedo-Gorky - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.01%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.