Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Nagorny Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)


	Torpedo-Gorky		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.23	4.85
	1.53	4.7	5	Watch
	1.47	4.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.75)	4.41 ↑ (4)	4.95 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo-Gorky
60.8%

Draw
20.8%

Norilsk
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

23%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torpedo-Gorky's performance.

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norilsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo-Gorky that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norilsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Torpedo Gorky - Norilsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Torpedo-Gorky will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo-Gorky (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Shugayev D. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)
33. Bochkov I. (C)	3. Kudryashov I.
59. Nikitin Y.	51. Popov O.
70. Gazizov R.	63. Yemets I.
58. Ilyin D. (A)	92. Yakovlev Y. (A)
67. Savunov D.	71. Golodnyuk S. (A)
Line 2
28. Dryagilev A.	44. Kovalev I.
24. Pelevin A.	18. Alexeyev D.
15. Avershin D.	56. Mokin N. (C)
87. Opalev R. (A)	10. Lipanov A.
66. Misnikov A.	7. Kirileichenko M.
Line 3
81. Varlakov A.	21. Kolomiytsev I.
5. Zharkov I.	72. Korchemkin D.
97. Mayorov N.	69. Skorikov D.
89. Stalnov D.	86. Melnichenko K.
80. Shavin N.	19. Aksenov A.
Line 4
19. Anisimov A.	82. Bulychyov G.
41. Fyodorov V.	99. Kandakov D.
84. Utkin M.	58. Yadykin Y.
23. Chesnokov G.	14. Sinyatkin S.
Substitutes
22. Golan I.	83. Sharpanov V. (G)
1. Zinaddin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
07:35, 1 - 0, Chesnokov G. (G), Fyodorov V. (A), Nikitin Y. (A2)
14:14, 2 - 0, Gazizov R. (G), Bochkov I. (A),
17:58, 3 - 0, Gazizov R. (G), Nikitin Y. (A), Utkin M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:09, 4 - 0, Ilyin D. (G), Nikitin Y. (A), Pelevin A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 1.

Torpedo-Gorky is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Norilsk is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Torpedo-Gorky may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Torpedo-Gorky is a strong favorite.

We predict that Torpedo-Gorky will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 2.4:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo-Gorky won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 2.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	HC Norilsk	14	7	1	2	4	32:32	18

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo-Gorky - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.5%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
09.02.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Dynamo-Altay	8:3 ✺
27.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Torpedo-Gorky	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Omskie Krylia	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Zauralie Kurgan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
07.02.26	Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:0 ✺
05.02.26	Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:4 ✺
03.02.26	Norilsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 penalties ✺
28.01.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Norilsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
06.10.25	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	0:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.08.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk	2:2
03.08.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk	1:2
VHL
23.01.25	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	4:3 OT
29.10.24	Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk	4:5 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
01.08.24	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	5:1
31.07.24	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	5:1

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