Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.97	3.44
	1.92	4.09	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.28)	4.03 ↑ (3.4)	3.37 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
49%

Draw
23.2%

Chelmet
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dizel Penza's performance.

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dizel Penza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Dizel Penza - Chelmet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)
83. Sukhov S.	42. Yusupov V.
6. Lukichyov A.	43. Rodionov M.
23. Sidlyarov D. (C)	29. Mokin M. (A)
47. Bobylyov V.	33. Rykmanov A.
10. Popov D.	10. Nizameev A.
Line 2
68. Rudakov G.	18. Mikanovich D.
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	79. Savelyev A.
17. Shiksatdarov I.	97. Matyushin A.
11. Makhanovsky P. (A)	37. Mits Z.
71. Kolmykov M.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 3
54. Filippov T.	66. Drugalya S.
49. Denisevich B.	90. Klimontov K. (A)
41. Lukin V.	17. Yekimov N.
19. Ryzhkov M.	57. Telegin N.
97. Borisenkov A.	16. Shen A.
Line 4
25. Kulikovskiy A.	98. Kolodiy L.
33. Galiyev M.	22. Filatov A.
69. Boluchevsky A.	34. Gusmanov F.
13. Zakirov T.	23. Shcheglov M.
	46. Shaveko V.
Substitutes
31. Kudashev D. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
03:18, 1 - 0, Popov D. (G), Sidlyarov D. (A),
12:43, 1 - 1, Zinovyev I. (G), Savelyev A. (A),
15:39, 2 - 1, Ryzhkov M. (G), Borisenkov A. (A),
2nd Period (4 - 0)
01:25, 3 - 1, Kolmykov M. (G), Shiksatdarov I. (A),
01:34, 4 - 1, Ryzhkov M. (G), Lukin V. (A),
05:37, 5 - 1, Shiksatdarov I. (G),
16:12, 6 - 1, Popov D. (G), Bobylyov V. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dizel could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 48:55. (average 2.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 2.2:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Chelmet - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
18.09.25	Dizel Penza - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:8 ✺
16.09.25	Dizel Penza - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:0 ✺
11.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
09.09.25	Khimik - Dizel Penza	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWL
- HC Chelmet
VHL
18.09.25	Ryazan - Chelmet	3:1 ✺
16.09.25	AKM - Chelmet	5:4 OT ✺
12.09.25	Chelmet - Izhstal	3:1 ✺
10.09.25	Chelmet - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
08.09.25	Chelmet - Molot Perm	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.02.25	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	2:3
04.10.24	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	4:2
26.11.23	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	1:4
16.11.23	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	3:2
02.12.22	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	1:0
15.11.22	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	1:2 OT
05.02.22	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:5 penalties

Dizel Penza - Chelmet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide