Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.79	3.06
	2.22	3.78	2.83	Watch
	2.1	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
43.9%

Draw
24.4%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Dizel Penza - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kudashev D. (G)	20. Kramzin Y. (G)
83. Sukhov S.	21. Yegorov A.
6. Lukichyov A.	37. Gololobov D.
23. Sidlyarov D. (C)	36. Mastryukov A.
47. Bobylyov V.	15. Grass M.
10. Popov D.	9. Boltanov A. (A)
Line 2
68. Rudakov G.	32. Shetle E. (C)
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	4. Zhloba N.
17. Shiksatdarov I.	95. Osipovich B. (A)
11. Makhanovsky P. (A)	13. Zimin N.
33. Galiyev M.	88. Rybin I.
Line 3
98. Lyulko V.	63. Vaulin M.
49. Denisevich B.	6. Gromov N.
41. Lukin V.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
19. Ryzhkov M.	97. Galenyuk M.
97. Borisenkov A.	38. Mikhnin D.
Line 4
72. Shvangiradze D.	25. Serazetdinov D.
34. Larichev V.	7. Timashov N.
69. Boluchevsky A.	98. Fursa A.
13. Zakirov T.	93. Nechayev I.
	68. Golnik R.
Substitutes
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	23. Amirbekov J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
04:28, 0 - 1, Gololobov D. (G), Galenyuk M. (A), Zimin N. (A2)
07:08, 0 - 2, Osipovich B. (G), Zimin N. (A), Timashov N. (A2)
14:13, 1 - 2, Shiksatdarov I. (G),
14:51, 2 - 2, Ryzhkov M. (G), Lukichyov A. (A), Popov D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:26, 2 - 3, Golnik R. (G), Gololobov D. (A), Nechayev I. (A2)
03:46, 2 - 4, Mirzabalayev A. (G), Serazetdinov D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 4)
04:06, 2 - 5, Mirzabalayev A. (G),
07:58, 2 - 6, Fursa A. (G), Mikhnin D. (A), Gololobov D. (A2)
09:40, 2 - 7, Fursa A. (G), Yegorov A. (A), Timashov N. (A2)
14:33, 2 - 8, Rybin I. (G), Gololobov D. (A), Zimin N. (A2)

Preview

In recent matches, Dizel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Magnitka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Magnitka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dizel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 2.5:5).

Including home match between the teams, Dizel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.57%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 31.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
16.09.25	Dizel Penza - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:0 ✺
11.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
09.09.25	Khimik - Dizel Penza	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
02.09.25	Dizel Penza - Kristall Saratov	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLW
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
16.09.25	Ryazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4 ✺
14.09.25	AKM - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:6 ✺
10.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
08.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 OT ✺
06.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Molot Perm	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
23.02.25	Dizel Penza - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:5
30.09.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dizel Penza	5:2

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