Match Info

Date: 21 January 2021, Thursday


	Dizel Penza		Dynamo MO

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.35	4
	1.57	4.4	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.2
	1.54	4.3	4.4
	1.6	4.41	4.48
	1.6	4.5	4.4
	1.59	4.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)	4.37 ↓ (4.57)	4.43 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
58.1%

Draw
21.1%

Dynamo MO
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

20.1%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

17.6%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Dynamo MO has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dizel Penza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo MO than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Dizel Penza - Dynamo MO Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Dizel is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dynamo MO is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dizel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dizel is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dizel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dizel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
19.01.21	Dizel Penza - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	5:4 penalties ✺
17.01.21	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	4:1 ✺
13.01.21	SKA-VMF - Dizel Penza	3:4 ✺
11.01.21	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Dizel Penza	3:1 ✺
09.01.21	Ryazan - Dizel Penza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWLW
- Dynamo MO
VHL
14.01.21	Dynamo MO - Ermak Angarsk	5:2 ✺
12.01.21	Dynamo MO - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:2 ✺
10.01.21	Dynamo MO - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	0:3 ✺
27.12.20	Tambov - Dynamo MO	3:1 ✺
25.12.20	Buran Voronezh - Dynamo MO	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
04.10.20	Dynamo MO - Dizel Penza	1:2
31.01.20	Dynamo MO - Dizel Penza	5:1
18.10.19	Dizel Penza - Dynamo MO	5:2

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