Match Info

VHL

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.59	2.65
	2.23	4.05	2.68	Watch
	2.4	3.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.33)	3.8 ↓ (3.87)	2.66 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
40.3%

Draw
24.6%

Rubin Tyumen
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

24.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

23.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	1. Gromovik Y. (G)
68. Rudakov G.	11. Popov Y.
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	7. Brinkmann A.
87. Karapetyan D.	27. Davydov D.
11. Makhanovsky P. (A)	10. Petrakov I.
10. Popov D.	80. Koshurnikov K.
Line 2
7. Spitsenko K.	28. Tsyganov D.
6. Lukichyov A.	55. Stikhanovsky M.
23. Sidlyarov D. (C)	9. Ivanov S.
47. Bobylyov V.	22. Babenko Y.
71. Kolmykov M.	23. Lazarev M.
Line 3
98. Lyulko V.	35. Vdovin Y.
83. Sukhov S.	76. Kartashov A.
41. Lukin V.	43. Voronkov P.
95. Pochivalov D.	57. Kanitsky Y.
97. Borisenkov A.	8. Bryutov N.
Line 4
77. Bannikov A.	24. Kolganov I.
78. Balashov M.	3. Ivanov Y. D.
69. Boluchevsky A.	85. Styozhkin I.
34. Larichev V.	53. Voevodin D.
Substitutes
20. Zyuzin A. (G)	90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)
	66. Piliya D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
03:37, 0 - 1, Babenko Y. (G), Ivanov S. (A),
06:47, 0 - 2, Brinkmann A. (G),
10:30, 1 - 2, Boluchevsky A. (G),
18:19, 2 - 2, Sidlyarov D. (G),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
04:49, 3 - 2, Bobylyov V. (G), Popov D. (A), Sidlyarov D. (A2)
06:31, 4 - 2, Balashov M. (G), Rudakov G. (A), Boluchevsky A. (A2)
07:43, 4 - 3, Lazarev M. (G), Ivanov S. (A),
17:30, 5 - 3, Sidlyarov D. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:11, 6 - 3, Borisenkov A. (G), Bobylyov V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rubin has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 52:47. (average 2.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 2.1:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Rubin Tyumen - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.77%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
27.11.25	Dizel Penza - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Buran Voronezh - Dizel Penza	1:3 ✺
20.11.25	Rostov - Dizel Penza	0:5 ✺
18.11.25	Tambov - Dizel Penza	2:4 ✺
13.11.25	Dizel Penza - Dynamo-Altay	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
27.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Rubin Tyumen	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Izhstal	2:7 ✺
19.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 ✺
17.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Molot Perm	3:2 penalties ✺
15.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.01.25	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	3:1
03.11.24	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	4:1
09.01.24	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	2:3 OT
14.10.23	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	1:9
21.01.23	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 OT
03.10.22	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	4:5 penalties
11.12.21	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	3:1

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