Match Info

NMHL

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Dizelist Penza		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	3.44	4.45	1.75
	3.35	4.3	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 (3.4)	4.38 ↓ (4.8)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizelist Penza
26.7%

Draw
20.7%

Ermak Angarsk
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

19.3%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

19%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizelist Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Dizelist Penza - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
13:38, 1 - 0, Zvyozdochkin D. (G), Moskvin K. (A), Sgibov R. (A2)
15:02, 1 - 1, Bogdanovich N. (G), Danilov D. (A),
19:56, 2 - 1, Zvyozdochkin D. (G), Moskvin K. (A), Yamaletdinov R. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:06, 3 - 1, Barabanov V. (G),
06:21, 3 - 2, Danilov D. (G), Malgin D. (A), Bogdanovich N. (A2)
10:07, 4 - 2, Erkaev I. (G), Yamaletdinov R. (A), Zvyozdochkin D. (A2)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Dizelist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ermak is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dizelist won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Including home match between the teams, Dizelist won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizelist Penza
RHL
23.10.25	Dizelist Penza - Ermak Angarsk	4:3 OT ✺
19.10.25	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Dizelist Penza	0:1 penalties ✺
05.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Dizelist Penza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLWW
- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
23.10.25	Dizelist Penza - Ermak Angarsk	4:3 OT ✺
09.10.25	Ermak Angarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	5:1 ✺
08.10.25	Ermak Angarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.09.25	MHK Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk	1:2 penalties ✺
10.09.25	Ermak Angarsk - Fakel Salekhard	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
23.10.25	Dizelist Penza - Ermak Angarsk	4:3 OT

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