Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Dornbirn		Graz 99ers

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.5	1.95
	2.9	4.5	1.95	Watch
	2.85	4.2	1.96
	3.05	4.5	2
	3.02	4.52	1.96
	2.88	4.5	1.95
	3.04	4.4	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.02)	4.45 ↑ (4.4)	1.96 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dornbirn
31.7%

Draw
20.9%

Graz 99ers
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

21.3%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

16.7%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dornbirn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Graz 99ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dornbirn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Graz 99ers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dornbirn - Graz 99ers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Dornbirn has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Graz 99ers is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Graz 99ers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dornbirn have a series of guest games.

Graz 99ers will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 49 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 21 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 28 matches and goals 145-153.

Including matches at home between the teams Dornbirn won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 79-71.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
21.01.22	Dornbirn - Black Wings Linz	2:3 penalties ✺
15.01.22	Olimpija Ljubljana - Dornbirn	5:3 ✺
06.01.22	Bolzano - Dornbirn	4:3 OT ✺
04.01.22	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Dornbirn	5:2 ✺
30.12.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Dornbirn	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Graz 99ers
Austrian Ice Hockey League
16.01.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Graz 99ers	2:3 OT ✺
14.01.22	Graz 99ers - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:1 ✺
09.01.22	Vienna Capitals - Graz 99ers	1:0 ✺
06.01.22	EC KAC - Graz 99ers	4:2 ✺
02.01.22	Graz 99ers - Villacher	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
16.12.21	Dornbirn - Graz 99ers	2:6
06.11.21	Graz 99ers - Dornbirn	4:3
17.09.21	Graz 99ers - Dornbirn	2:3 OT
28.02.21	Dornbirn - Graz 99ers	4:1
21.02.21	Graz 99ers - Dornbirn	2:1
05.02.21	Graz 99ers - Dornbirn	1:7
11.01.21	Dornbirn - Graz 99ers	6:2

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