Match Info

GERMANY: DEL2 - Round 38

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Echte Helden Arena (Freiburg)


	EHC Freiburg		Dresdner Eislöwen

	1	X	2
	2.55	4	2.2
	2.6	3.85	2.17	Watch
	2.68	3.9	2.27	Watch
	2.6	3.9	2.15
	2.62	4	2.18
	2.6	3.85	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.75)	3.92 (3.92)	2.19 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Freiburg
35%

Draw
23.3%

Dresdner Eislöwen
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

23.5%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

23.2%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Dresdner Eislöwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dresdner Eislöwen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

EHC Freiburg - Dresdner Eislöwen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
64. Cerveny P. (G)	62. Schwendener J. (G)
61. Hempel N.	25. Hammond T.
7. Ventela S.	23. Granz O.
71. O'Donnell S.	91. Turnbull T.
26. Streu S.	9. LeBlanc D.
15. Reisnecker F.	27. Fox D.
Line 2
92. Hafenrichter L.	75. Riedl B.
77. Heider P.	24. Karlsson S.
84. Elo E.	88. Porsberger J.
91. Schwamberger T.	92. Andres T.
9. Linsenmaier N.	12. Yogan A.
Line 3
79. Pokorny C.	53. Drews Y.
28. Schwaiger D.	33. Suvanto D.
52. Miller D.	32. Hendreschke R.
21. Saakyan G.	19. Postel N.
3. Burghart Y.	47. Gorcik S.
Line 4
	71. Schindler S.
	20. Pischoff M.
	21. Mrazek M.
	44. Schindler N.
Substitutes
40. Hegmann F. (G)	55. Stocker P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:29, 0 - 1, Postel N. (G), Hammond T. (A), Gorcik S. (A2)
13:57, 0 - 2, Postel N. (G), Gorcik S. (A), Granz O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
01:12, 0 - 3, Porsberger J. (G), Yogan A. (A), Andres T. (A2)
04:34, 1 - 3, Elo E. (G), Ventela S. (A), Linsenmaier N. (A2)
08:35, 1 - 4, LeBlanc D. (G), Turnbull T. (A), Granz O. (A2)
09:20, 1 - 5, Yogan A. (G), Pischoff M. (A),
10:42, 1 - 6, Gorcik S. (G), Postel N. (A), Suvanto D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:46, 1 - 7, Fox D. (G), Karlsson S. (A), LeBlanc D. (A2)
12:02, 1 - 8, Hendreschke R. (G), Suvanto D. (A), Postel N. (A2)
19:46, 2 - 8, Miller D. (G), Burghart Y. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Dresdner Eislöwen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 65:68 (average 3.3:3.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:32 (average 2.9:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

EHC Freiburg - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.48%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Dresdner Eislöwen - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.03%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Freiburg
German DEL2
17.01.25	Starbulls Rosenheim - EHC Freiburg	4:3 ✺
12.01.25	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	6:4 ✺
10.01.25	EHC Freiburg - Landshut Cannibals	1:2 OT ✺
05.01.25	Krefeld Pinguine - EHC Freiburg	2:3 ✺
03.01.25	EHC Freiburg - Crimmitschau	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWW
- Dresdner Eislöwen
German DEL2
12.01.25	Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim - Dresdner Eislöwen	2:3 penalties ✺
10.01.25	Dresdner Eislöwen - Lausitzer Füchse	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Crimmitschau - Dresdner Eislöwen	2:1 penalties ✺
03.01.25	Dresdner Eislöwen - Regensburg	4:1 ✺
30.12.24	Dresdner Eislöwen - Kassel Huskies	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
29.11.24	Dresdner Eislöwen - EHC Freiburg	4:1
02.10.24	EHC Freiburg - Dresdner Eislöwen	2:4
11.02.24	EHC Freiburg - Dresdner Eislöwen	0:4
16.01.24	Dresdner Eislöwen - EHC Freiburg	5:4 penalties
24.11.23	EHC Freiburg - Dresdner Eislöwen	1:2
06.10.23	Dresdner Eislöwen - EHC Freiburg	2:3
03.03.23	Dresdner Eislöwen - EHC Freiburg	4:3 penalties

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