Match Info

DEL2 - Round 33

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Echte Helden Arena (Freiburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdeuschland


	EHC Freiburg		Lausitzer Füchse

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.2	2.35
	2.34	3.85	2.4
	2.36	4.03	2.51	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.38
	2.31	3.86	2.4
	2.35	3.85	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)	3.95 ↓ (3.99)	2.39 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Freiburg
38.9%

Draw
23%

Lausitzer Füchse
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

23.3%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Lausitzer Füchse have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EHC Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausitzer Füchse than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lausitzer Füchse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

EHC Freiburg - Lausitzer Füchse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
64. Cerveny P. (G)	31. Morrone A. (G)
95. Kuhnhauser K.	5. Elten N.
7. Ventela S.	7. Havlena K.
91. Schwamberger T.	34. Dosch A.
9. Linsenmaier N.	9. Brady A.
84. Elo E.	24. Broda J.
Line 2
86. De Los Rios A.	27. Hjorth E.
8. Schlenker C.	18. Kretzschmar M.
89. Muhlbauer L.	71. Breitkreuz C.
21. Ewanyk T.	25. Nieleck L.
71. O'Donnell S.	26. Theodore C.
Line 3
61. Hempel N.	42. Heyter T.
77. Heider P.	38. Stowasser S.
23. Bechtold P.	17. D'Aoust A.
57. Kretschmann C.	67. Knobloch T.
67. Airich J.	10. Saakyan G.
Line 4
27. Trinkberger D.	6. Braun M.
68. Ludwig F.	13. Tripcke H.
44. Majher L.	19. Sezemsky T.
Substitutes
40. Hegmann F. (G)	30. Seidel P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:18, 1 - 0, Schwamberger T. (G), Linsenmaier N. (A), Ventela S. (A2)
10:49, 1 - 1, Saakyan G. (G), D'Aoust A. (A), Hjorth E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:29, 2 - 1, Trinkberger D. (G), Kretschmann C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 3.

Recent form of Freiburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lausitzer Füchse has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 66:53. (average 3.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 3.8:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	Lausitzer Fuchse	7	2	0	2	3	15:23	8
12	Freiburg	7	1	1	2	3	12:19	7

Last Results with these Odds

Lausitzer Füchse - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.95%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Freiburg
German DEL2
04.01.26	Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim - EHC Freiburg	6:0 ✺
02.01.26	Dusseldorfer EG - EHC Freiburg	3:2 penalties ✺
30.12.25	EHC Freiburg - Weiden	4:2 ✺
28.12.25	Landshut Cannibals - EHC Freiburg	4:3 ✺
26.12.25	Kaufbeuren - EHC Freiburg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- Lausitzer Füchse
German DEL2
04.01.26	Regensburg - Lausitzer Füchse	5:0 ✺
02.01.26	Lausitzer Füchse - Bietigheim-Bissingen	1:2 OT ✺
30.12.25	Lausitzer Füchse - Landshut Cannibals	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Crimmitschau - Lausitzer Füchse	3:2 ✺
26.12.25	Weiden - Lausitzer Füchse	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
28.11.25	Lausitzer Füchse - EHC Freiburg	1:2 OT
12.10.25	EHC Freiburg - Lausitzer Füchse	4:5 penalties
07.03.25	EHC Freiburg - Lausitzer Füchse	3:2
05.03.25	Lausitzer Füchse - EHC Freiburg	3:5
31.01.25	Lausitzer Füchse - EHC Freiburg	3:2
26.12.24	EHC Freiburg - Lausitzer Füchse	5:0
03.11.24	Lausitzer Füchse - EHC Freiburg	7:4

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