Match Info

DEL - Round 33

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Saturn Arena (Ingolstadt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	ERC Ingolstadt		Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.75	3.8	Watch
	1.69	4.55	3.95	Watch
	1.74	4.39	3.82	Watch
	1.62	4.4	3.8
	1.72	4.6	3.75	Watch
	1.62	4.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	4.49 ↑ (4.3)	3.83 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ERC Ingolstadt
55.2%

Draw
20.6%

Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

21.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ERC Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ERC Ingolstadt - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Brochu B. (G)	1. Strahlmeier D. (G)
4. Ellis M.	95. Pfohl F.
75. Breton A.	5. Krupp B.
17. Girduckis A.	63. Schinko L.
86. Pietta D.	46. Smith G.
11. Agostino K.	15. Hayhurst J.
Line 2
25. Huttl L.	4. Thompson K.
2. Ruopp S.	24. Moser J.
37. Barber R.	93. Machacek S.
98. Abbandonato P.	58. Gaudet T.
92. Schmolz D.	7. Lambert J.
Line 3
55. Tropmann E.	44. Melchiori J.
7. Jandric C.	28. Martinovic J.
8. Krauss P.	49. Lynch R.
89. Keating A.	71. Feser J.
91. Sheen R.	97. White M.
Line 4
95. Preto P.	29. Hafenrichter L.
85. Hauf L.	13. Dumont L.
23. Smallwood J.	40. Chrobot J.
16. Krauss J.	91. Ruckdaschel T.
Substitutes
30. Oswald B. (G)	67. Weitzmann H. (G)
Coaches
. French M.	. Stewart M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:42, Lynch R. (2 min),
05:09, 0 - 1, White M. (G),
08:43, Machacek S. (2 min),
08:46, 1 - 1, Barber R. (G), Pietta D. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
14:47, Ellis M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
01:19, Thompson K. (2 min),
14:45, Strahlmeier D. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
08:07, Melchiori J. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Barber R. (Penalty Shot),
1, Lynch R. (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, White M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Breton A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 4.

In recent matches, Ingolstadt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Ingolstadt is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 62:70. (average 3.1:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 3.9:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

ERC Ingolstadt - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.87%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
26.12.25	Adler Mannheim - ERC Ingolstadt	2:5 ✺
23.12.25	ERC Ingolstadt - EHC München	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Dresdner Eislöwen - ERC Ingolstadt	3:2 ✺
18.12.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Eisbären Berlin	8:5 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
16.12.25	Frölunda - ERC Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWT
- Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams
German Ice Hockey League
26.12.25	Eisbären Berlin - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	1:2 ✺
23.12.25	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - Iserlohn Roosters	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - Adler Mannheim	5:2 ✺
18.12.25	Kölner Haie - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	Dresdner Eislöwen - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
21.11.25	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - ERC Ingolstadt	2:4
19.09.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	3:2
21.02.25	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - ERC Ingolstadt	3:4
18.12.24	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - ERC Ingolstadt	6:3
24.11.24	ERC Ingolstadt - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	5:1
11.10.24	ERC Ingolstadt - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	7:5
02.02.24	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - ERC Ingolstadt	3:1

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