Match Info

NHL

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Rogers Place (Edmonton, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
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Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
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World	NHL.tv


	Edmonton Oilers		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	1.74	4.5	3.8	Watch
	1.75	4.63	3.75
	1.79	4.8	3.75
	1.73	4.81	3.77	Watch
	1.8	4.5	3.75
	1.84	4.87	3.55
	1.74	4.4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)	4.64 ↑ (4.49)	3.75 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edmonton Oilers
53.9%

Draw
20.6%

Buffalo Sabres
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

21.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

21%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edmonton Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Buffalo will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Edmonton (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Buffalo (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
74. Skinner S. (G)	92. Ellis C. (G)
2. Bouchard E.	26. Dahlin R.
14. Ekholm M.	23. Samuelsson M.
18. Hyman Z.	89. Tuch A.
97. McDavid C.	72. Thompson T.
93. Nugent-Hopkins R.	12. Greenway J.
Line 2
75. Regula A.	21. Timmins C.
25. Nurse D.	4. Byram B.
22. Savoie M.	91. Doan J.
29. Draisaitl L.	9. Norris J.
92. Podkolzin V.	6. Benson Z.
Line 3
49. Emberson T.	78. Bryson J.
27. Kulak B.	25. Power O.
88. Mangiapane A.	22. Quinn J.
19. Henrique A.	71. McLeod R.
13. Janmark M.	44. Dunne J.
Line 4
86. Tomasek D.	48. Kozak T.
20. Lazar C.	19. Krebs P.
10. Frederic T.	29. Malenstyn B.
Substitutes
30. Pickard C. (G)	34. Lyon A. (G)
Coaches
. Knoblauch K.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:51, Nurse D. (2 min),
18:28, Tomasek D. (2 min),
19:01, 0 - 1, Doan J. (G), Dahlin R. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
19:01, Ellis C. ↓, Lyon A. ↑,
2nd Period (0 - 2)
05:27, Quinn J. (2 min),
11:03, 0 - 2, Thompson T. (G),
11:19, Hyman Z. (2 min),
11:59, 0 - 3, Doan J. (G), Thompson T. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
15:31, Malenstyn B. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
00:10, 1 - 3, McDavid C. (G), Ekholm M. (A),
01:56, 2 - 3, Podkolzin V. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), Emberson T. (A2)
07:51, Dahlin R. (2 min),
12:51, Hyman Z. (2 min),
13:59, Henrique A. (2 min),
15:11, Tuch A. (2 min),
17:17, Nugent-Hopkins R. (2 min),
19:58, 3 - 3, McDavid C. (G), Nugent-Hopkins R. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:33, 3 - 4, Tuch A. (G), McLeod R. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Buffalo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Edmonton has had a series of home games.

Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Edmonton is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Edmonton: Clattenburg C. (Eye injury) Kapanen K. (Lower-Body Injury) Philp N. (Upper-Body Injury) Roslovic J. (Injury)

There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kesselring M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Edmonton: Walman J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Buffalo: Kozak T. (Injury)

We predict that Edmonton will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:60. (average 3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:30. (average 3.7:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Edmonton Oilers - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 53.35%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edmonton Oilers
NHL
06.12.25	Edmonton Oilers - Winnipeg Jets	6:2 ✺
04.12.25	Edmonton Oilers - Seattle Kraken	9:4 ✺
02.12.25	Edmonton Oilers - Minnesota Wild	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Seattle Kraken - Edmonton Oilers	0:4 ✺
25.11.25	Edmonton Oilers - Dallas Stars	3:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
08.12.25	Calgary Flames - Buffalo Sabres	7:4 ✺
05.12.25	Winnipeg Jets - Buffalo Sabres	4:1 ✺
03.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres	5:2 ✺
01.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
17.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers	5:1
10.03.25	Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers	3:2
25.01.25	Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres	3:2
21.03.24	Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres	8:3
09.03.24	Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers	3:2 OT
06.03.23	Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers	2:3
18.10.22	Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres	2:4

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