Match Info

NHL

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Canada Life Centre (Winnipeg, MB) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	21:00	Disney+
Chile	21:00	Disney+
Denmark	01:00	Viaplay
Finland	02:00	Viaplay
Germany	01:00	NHL.tv
Iceland	00:00	Viaplay
Mexico	18:00	Sky Sport
Norway	01:00	Viaplay
Spain	01:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	01:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United Kingdom	00:00	DAZN
Uruguay	21:00	Disney+
Venezuela	20:00	Disney+
International	00:00	NHL.tv


	Winnipeg Jets		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.2	2.7	Watch
	2.21	4.24	2.75
	2.27	4.5	2.66
	2.2	4.51	2.66	Watch
	2.25	4.33	2.63
	2.27	4.47	2.73
	2.2	4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.99)	4.32 ↓ (4.36)	2.7 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winnipeg Jets
42.7%

Draw
22%

Buffalo Sabres
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

21.7%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

22%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winnipeg Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Winnipeg Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Sabres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Winnipeg Jets - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Winnipeg will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Buffalo will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Winnipeg: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Winnipeg (votes: 3 - 50%). Buffalo (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Comrie E. (G)	1. Luukkonen U. (G)
2. DeMelo D.	26. Dahlin R. (C)
44. Morrissey J. (A)	23. Samuelsson M. (A)
13. Vilardi G.	72. Thompson T.
55. Scheifele M. (A)	9. Norris J.
81. Connor K.	6. Benson Z.
Line 2
4. Pionk N.	21. Timmins C.
54. Samberg D.	4. Byram B.
91. Perfetti C.	22. Quinn J.
19. Toews J.	71. McLeod R.
7. Namestnikov V.	17. Zucker J.
Line 3
57. Salomonsson E.	78. Bryson J.
64. Stanley L.	25. Power O.
9. Iafallo A.	89. Tuch A. (A)
17. Lowry A. (C)	86. Ostlund N.
62. Niederreiter N.	91. Doan J.
Line 4
70. Pearson T.	29. Malenstyn B.
36. Barron M.	19. Krebs P.
45. Koepke C.	44. Dunne J.
Substitutes
32. Milic T. (G)	92. Ellis C. (G)
Coaches
. Arniel S.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:24, 1 - 0, Connor K. (G), Vilardi G. (A), Samberg D. (A2)
07:40, Barron M. (2 min),
14:25, Toews J. (2 min),
14:44, 1 - 1, Zucker J. (G), Norris J. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
16:18, Byram B. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:22, 2 - 1, Pearson T. (G), Koepke C. (A),
06:13, Stanley L. (2 min),
06:13, Greenway J. (2 min),
10:18, Lowry A. (Penalty Shot),
18:42, 3 - 1, Koepke C. (G), Barron M. (A), DeMelo D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:26, 4 - 1, Vilardi G. (G), Connor K. (A), Scheifele M. (A2)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 3.

Winnipeg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Buffalo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Winnipeg has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Winnipeg: Fleury H. (Concussion) Hellebuyck C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kesselring M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 58:55. (average 2.9:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Winnipeg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 2.6:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Winnipeg Jets - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.51%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Buffalo Sabres - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.8%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winnipeg Jets
NHL
03.12.25	Montreal Canadiens - Winnipeg Jets	3:2 penalties ✺
01.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Nashville Predators - Winnipeg Jets	2:5 ✺
28.11.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Winnipeg Jets	5:1 ✺
26.11.25	Washington Capitals - Winnipeg Jets	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
03.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres	5:2 ✺
01.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - New Jersey Devils	0:5 ✺
26.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
01.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets	5:1
23.03.25	Winnipeg Jets - Buffalo Sabres	3:5
05.12.24	Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets	2:3 OT
03.03.24	Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets	2:5
17.11.23	Winnipeg Jets - Buffalo Sabres	3:2
26.01.23	Winnipeg Jets - Buffalo Sabres	2:3
12.01.23	Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets	2:4

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