Match Info

NHL

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Rogers Place (Edmonton, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Edmonton Oilers		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.25	3.4	Watch
	1.75	4.6	3.4
	1.9	4.38	3.35
	1.93	4.5	3.21	Watch
	1.91	4.33	3.4
	1.88	4.52	3.42
	1.9	4.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.89)	4.41 ↑ (4.37)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edmonton Oilers
50.4%

Draw
21.4%

Pittsburgh Penguins
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

21.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

22.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edmonton Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	28.6%	35.7%

Edmonton Oilers - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Edmonton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Jarry T. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
2. Bouchard E.	77. Kulak B.
14. Ekholm M.	28. Wotherspoon P.
18. Hyman Z.	17. Rust B. (A)
97. McDavid C. (C)	87. Crosby S. (C)
93. Nugent-Hopkins R. (A)	67. Rakell R.
Line 2
49. Emberson T.	3. St.Ivany J.
25. Nurse D. (A)	5. Shea R.
22. Savoie M.	71. Malkin E. (A)
28. Roslovic J.	18. Novak T.
53. Howard I.	59. Chinakhov Y.
Line 3
24. Stastney S.	75. Clifton C.
96. Walman J.	27. Graves R.
88. Mangiapane A.	16. Brazeau J.
20. Lazar C.	81. Kindel B.
13. Janmark M.	39. Mantha A.
Line 4
75. Regula A.	55. Acciari N.
10. Frederic T.	46. Lizotte B.
92. Podkolzin V.	19. Dewar C.
Substitutes
39. Ingram C. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
Coaches
. Knoblauch K.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
02:20, 0 - 1, Mantha A. (G), Brazeau J. (A), Clifton C. (A2)
02:42, 0 - 2, Mantha A. (G), Brazeau J. (A), Kulak B. (A2)
02:57, 0 - 3, Crosby S. (G), Shea R. (A), St.Ivany J. (A2)
10:54, Stastney S. (2 min),
11:25, Crosby S. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:47, McDavid C. (2 min),
05:19, 1 - 3, Walman J. (G), Janmark M. (A),
12:29, 1 - 4, Rakell R. (G), Malkin E. (A), Rust B. (A2)
14:27, 1 - 5, Malkin E. (G),
16:57, Kindel B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:50, 1 - 6, Chinakhov Y. (G), Novak T. (A), St.Ivany J. (A2)
13:57, 2 - 6, Savoie M. (G), Bouchard E. (A), Ekholm M. (A2)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Edmonton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Edmonton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Edmonton: Draisaitl L. (Personal Reasons) Henrique A. (Injury) Kapanen K. (Injury)

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Karlsson E. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Letang K. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 72:55. (average 3.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 3.7:2.8).

Outrights of NHL for now

Edmonton Oilers: 7.85% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.18%

Last Results with these Odds

Edmonton Oilers - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.38%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edmonton Oilers
NHL
20.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - New Jersey Devils	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - St. Louis Blues	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Vancouver Canucks - Edmonton Oilers	0:6 ✺
15.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - New York Islanders	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Nashville Predators - Edmonton Oilers	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
21.01.26	Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:4 ✺
19.01.26	Seattle Kraken - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:6 ✺
17.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Columbus Blue Jackets	3:4 penalties ✺
15.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Philadelphia Flyers	6:3 ✺
13.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
16.12.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Edmonton Oilers	4:6
09.01.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Edmonton Oilers	5:3
25.10.24	Edmonton Oilers - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:0
10.03.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Edmonton Oilers	0:4
03.03.24	Edmonton Oilers - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:1
23.02.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Edmonton Oilers	2:7
24.10.22	Edmonton Oilers - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:3

Edmonton Oilers - Pittsburgh Penguins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide