Match Info

NHL

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Calgary Flames		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	2.7	4	2.25	Watch
	2.62	4.05	2.36
	2.6	4.18	2.33	Watch
	2.63	4	2.38
	2.7	4.21	2.36
	2.7	4.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.23)	4.12 ↑ (4.11)	2.31 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Flames
35.8%

Draw
23.1%

Pittsburgh Penguins
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

23%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

23.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calgary Flames's form might have worsened.

Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pittsburgh Penguins's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calgary Flames, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Calgary: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Calgary Flames will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Wolf D. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
2. Whitecloud Z.	58. Letang K. (A)
7. Bahl K.	77. Kulak B.
92. Gridin M.	17. Rust B.
91. Kadri N. (A)	87. Crosby S. (C)
47. Zary C.	67. Rakell R.
Line 2
52. Weegar M. (A)	28. Wotherspoon P.
37. Kuznetsov Y.	5. Shea R.
27. Coronato M.	71. Malkin E. (A)
11. Backlund M. (C)	18. Novak T.
17. Sharangovich Y.	59. Chinakhov Y.
Line 3
48. Brzustewicz H.	75. Clifton C.
44. Hanley J.	27. Graves R.
86. Farabee J.	16. Brazeau J.
16. Frost M.	81. Kindel B.
10. Huberdeau J.	39. Mantha A.
Line 4
43. Klapka A.	55. Acciari N.
76. Pospisil M.	46. Lizotte B.
70. Lomberg R.	19. Dewar C.
Substitutes
1. Cooley D. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
Coaches
. Huska R.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:29, Lomberg R. (2 min),
07:49, 0 - 1, Malkin E. (G), Shea R. (A), St.Ivany J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:32, 0 - 2, Chinakhov Y. (G), Novak T. (A), Malkin E. (A2)
19:57, 1 - 2, Sharangovich Y. (G), Whitecloud Z. (A), Bahl K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:50, 1 - 3, Crosby S. (G), Rust B. (A), Rakell R. (A2)
01:04, Novak T. (2 min),
09:19, 1 - 4, Novak T. (G), St.Ivany J. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Beecher J. (Upper-Body Injury) Coleman B. (Upper-Body Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Karlsson E. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Calgary will win today's game, with odds of 2.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:60. (average 2.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 2.7:3.1).

Outrights of NHL for now

Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.18% Calgary Flames: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.62%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Flames
NHL
19.01.26	Calgary Flames - New Jersey Devils	1:2 OT ✺
17.01.26	Calgary Flames - New York Islanders	4:2 ✺
15.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Calgary Flames	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Calgary Flames	5:3 ✺
10.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Calgary Flames	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLW
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
19.01.26	Seattle Kraken - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:6 ✺
17.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Columbus Blue Jackets	3:4 penalties ✺
15.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Philadelphia Flyers	6:3 ✺
13.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:2 penalties ✺
11.01.26	Boston Bruins - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
10.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Calgary Flames	1:2
30.11.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Calgary Flames	6:2
22.10.24	Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:3 penalties
02.03.24	Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:3
14.10.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Calgary Flames	5:2
23.11.22	Pittsburgh Penguins - Calgary Flames	2:1 penalties
25.10.22	Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:1

Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide