Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday


	Ermak Angarsk		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	3.95	4.2	1.58
	4	4.05	1.63
	4.2	4.55	1.62	Watch
	4.1	4.4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.54)	4.3 ↓ (4.6)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
22.4%

Draw
21.1%

Gornyak-UGMK
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

20.3%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

20.3%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Ermak Angarsk - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 0.

Recent matches Ermak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gornyak-UGMK is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ermak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gornyak-UGMK have a series of home games.

In this match Gornyak-UGMK is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ermak won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18-41.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
30.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:1 ✺
28.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Chelmet	3:4 OT ✺
26.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 ✺
19.09.22	Buran Voronezh - Ermak Angarsk	4:1 ✺
17.09.22	Rostov - Ermak Angarsk	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWLW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
30.09.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	4:2 ✺
25.09.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:4 ✺
23.09.22	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	5:3 ✺
21.09.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 ✺
19.09.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.01.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Ermak Angarsk	3:1
17.10.21	Ermak Angarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:6
22.01.21	Ermak Angarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:5
28.10.20	Gornyak-UGMK - Ermak Angarsk	4:1
20.01.20	Ermak Angarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:4
07.11.19	Gornyak-UGMK - Ermak Angarsk	4:3
11.12.18	Ermak Angarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:4

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