Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Gornyak-UGMK		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	3.98	4.3	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.01)	4.3 ↑ (4.2)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
22.9%

Draw
21.2%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

21.7%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
14:47, 0 - 1, Podkorytov A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
03:13, 1 - 1, Velikov M. (G),
07:12, 1 - 2, Ospanov R. (G),
10:50, 1 - 3, Sheshin D. (G),
12:37, 1 - 4, Medvedev P. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
10', 2 - 4, (G),
20', 2 - 5, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 1.

In recent matches, Gornyak-UGMK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.

In this match, Metallurg N is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 42:67. (average 2.1:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 2.7:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.57%, but this team recently wins 76% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 OT ✺
26.08.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK	6:3 ✺
25.08.26	Omskie Krylia - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT ✺
13.08.26	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1 ✺
12.08.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLL
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.26	Omskie Krylia - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
24.08.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 penalties ✺
VHL
10.05.26	Khimik - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:2 ✺
07.05.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Khimik	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.04.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	5:0
16.04.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:7
14.04.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2
11.04.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:0
09.04.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:1
27.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT
22.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5

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