Match Info

NMHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Ermak Angarsk		Granit Chekhov

	1	X	2
	2.07	4	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.13)	4 ↑ (3.98)	2.74 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
44%

Draw
22.8%

Granit Chekhov
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

22.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Granit Chekhov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granit Chekhov than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:55, 0 - 1, Dubinin D. (G), Sinitsyn A. (A), Kozharov R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:13, 1 - 1, Matveyev I. (G), Gladkikh Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Ofitserov I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Tsaryov I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Bechruz N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Starovoitov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Dubinin D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Aplin T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Onishchenko M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Danilov D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Sinitsyn A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Bogdanovich N. (Penalty Shot),
6, Tsaryov I. (Penalty Shot),
6, Sinitsyn A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Granit (NMHL) leads series 1-0. Second leg.

Ermak is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ermak won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ermak won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ermak won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 3.2:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
25.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	3:4 penalties ✺
19.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Bobrov	1:4 ✺
16.04.26	Bobrov - Ermak Angarsk	1:4 ✺
15.04.26	Bobrov - Ermak Angarsk	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Bobrov	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL
- Granit Chekhov
RHL
25.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	3:4 penalties ✺
19.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1 ✺
16.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Kaluga	4:1 ✺
15.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Kaluga	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
25.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	3:4 penalties
17.12.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	2:4
16.12.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	0:1 OT
14.03.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	4:3 OT
13.03.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	5:2
10.03.24	Granit Chekhov - Ermak Angarsk	3:2 penalties
09.03.24	Granit Chekhov - Ermak Angarsk	2:3

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