Match Info

NMHL

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Fakel Salekhard		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	5.29	5.15	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↓ (5.52)	5.15 ↓ (6.5)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel Salekhard
17.2%

Draw
17.7%

Kaluga
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

14.3%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

14.5%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel Salekhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Salekhard than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Fakel Salekhard - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:59, 1 - 0, Filyakov S. (G), Semenov S. (A), Ugryumov P. (A2)
17:37, 1 - 1, Kitanin I. (G), Fatkullin D. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
10:07, 1 - 2, Sharifyanov S. (G), Meshcherin K. (A), Fatkullin D. (A2)
11:23, 1 - 3, Khandiy N. (G), Vildanov A. (A), Chemerskikh S. (A2)
12:12, 1 - 4, Sharifyanov S. (G), Vlasov K. (A),
14:34, 2 - 4, Filyakov S. (G), Ugryumov P. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:14, 2 - 5, Kitanin I. (G),

Preview

Recent performances by Fakel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kaluga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Fakel has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kaluga is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 4.5:5.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:10. (average 3:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Salekhard
RHL
06.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Kaluga	1:6 ✺
28.10.25	Tverichi - Fakel Salekhard	2:3 ✺
27.10.25	Tverichi - Fakel Salekhard	2:4 ✺
24.10.25	Buran Moscow - Fakel Salekhard	4:0 ✺
23.10.25	Buran Moscow - Fakel Salekhard	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- MHK Kaluga
RHL
06.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Kaluga	1:6 ✺
30.10.25	Kaluga - Bryansk	3:2 ✺
29.10.25	Kaluga - Bryansk	4:1 ✺
24.10.25	Voevoda Podolsk - Kaluga	4:5 penalties ✺
23.10.25	Voevoda Podolsk - Kaluga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
06.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Kaluga	1:6
19.03.25	Kaluga - Fakel Salekhard	7:5
18.03.25	Kaluga - Fakel Salekhard	5:7
09.10.24	Fakel Salekhard - Kaluga	5:4 OT

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