Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 25 January 2024, Thursday


	Fassa		KAC II

	1	X	2
	1.45	5	4.6
	1.45	4.9	4.55
	1.43	4.75	4.59
	1.5	5.26	5.07
	1.4	5	5
	1.47	5	4.83
	1.46	5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	4.99 ↓ (5.09)	4.76 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fassa
62.7%

Draw
18.2%

KAC II
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

18.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

18.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Fassa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

KAC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAC II than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Fassa - KAC II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fassa won 4.

Recent matches Fassa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KAC II is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fassa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fassa is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Fassa won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 72-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Fassa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
20.01.24	Fassa - Kitzbühel	4:6 ✺
18.01.24	KAC II - Fassa	2:3 penalties ✺
05.01.24	Fassa - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:7 ✺
03.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Fassa	3:5 ✺
30.12.23	Kitzbühel - Fassa	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- EC KAC II
Alps Hockey League
18.01.24	KAC II - Fassa	2:3 penalties ✺
05.01.24	Ritten-Renon - KAC II	3:2 ✺
03.01.24	KAC II - Cortina	3:2 penalties ✺
30.12.23	Gherdëina - KAC II	3:1 ✺
28.12.23	Celje - KAC II	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
18.01.24	KAC II - Fassa	2:3 penalties
07.12.23	KAC II - Fassa	0:9
28.09.23	Fassa - KAC II	6:2
24.11.22	KAC II - Fassa	4:1
29.09.22	Fassa - KAC II	3:1
05.12.21	KAC II - Fassa	0:3
26.10.21	Fassa - KAC II	4:3

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