Match Info

ECHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hertz Arena (Estero, FL) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	19:00	Flohockey


	Florida Everblades		Wheeling Nailers

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.5	3.55
	1.72	4.35	3.45
	1.76	4.53	3.37	Watch
	1.67	4.6	3.6
	1.69	4.3	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.91)	4.46 ↑ (4.25)	3.53 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florida Everblades
53.7%

Draw
20.5%

Wheeling Nailers
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

21.6%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

22.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florida Everblades has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Florida Everblades's performance.

Wheeling Nailers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florida Everblades than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Florida Everblades that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wheeling Nailers than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wheeling Nailers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Florida Everblades - Wheeling Nailers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Johnson C. (G)	33. Gauthier T. (G)
19. Berzolla Z.	28. Andrew T.
26. Betts K.	21. Armstrong C.
20. Chau O.	9. Bennett B.
17. Cooper O.	42. Breazeale D.
28. Doherty C.	54. De St. Phalle M.
27. Duke R.	83. Edwards B.
16. Fizer T.	36. Graham M.
15. Gicewicz C.	17. Kuqali A.
71. Jones J.	61. McAllister R.
12. Kyte P.	79. Pieniniemi E.
34. Lansdell J.	13. Pietila L.
2. Moberg C.	12. Posma M.
13. Needham C.	22. Quercia M.
11. Nurse I.	23. Renwick N.
29. Romano A.	47. Shoudy T.
6. Sambrook J.	8. Sutter A.
3. Stange S.	24. Thompson T.
21. Zmolek R.	34. Urdahl Z.
Substitutes
30. McClellan K. (G)	60. D'Aigle G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:29, 1 - 0, Berzolla Z. (G), Zmolek R. (A), Lansdell J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Florida Everblades leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Florida won 4.

Florida is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Wheeling has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Florida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Florida will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Florida will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Florida won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:23. (average 4:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Florida won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 3.5:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Florida Everblades - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.08%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florida Everblades
ECHL
22.05.26	Florida Everblades - Wheeling Nailers	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	South Carolina Stingrays - Florida Everblades	1:3 ✺
15.05.26	South Carolina Stingrays - Florida Everblades	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	South Carolina Stingrays - Florida Everblades	3:7 ✺
09.05.26	Florida Everblades - South Carolina Stingrays	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW
- Wheeling Nailers
ECHL
22.05.26	Florida Everblades - Wheeling Nailers	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Wheeling Nailers - Maine Mariners	4:3 ✺
16.05.26	Wheeling Nailers - Maine Mariners	2:1 OT ✺
13.05.26	Maine Mariners - Wheeling Nailers	5:3 ✺
12.05.26	Maine Mariners - Wheeling Nailers	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ECHL
22.05.26	Florida Everblades - Wheeling Nailers	2:1
27.03.21	Florida Everblades - Wheeling Nailers	5:3
26.03.21	Florida Everblades - Wheeling Nailers	5:2
24.03.21	Florida Everblades - Wheeling Nailers	2:6
15.12.13	Wheeling Nailers - Florida Everblades	4:5 penalties
08.12.12	Wheeling Nailers - Florida Everblades	4:5 pen.
07.12.12	Wheeling Nailers - Florida Everblades	3:4 pen.

Florida Everblades - Wheeling Nailers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide