The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wheeling Nailers 44.3%
Draw 21.7%
Maine Mariners 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
21.1%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
24.2%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wheeling Nailers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Maine Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wheeling Nailers than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wheeling Nailers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maine Mariners than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Wheeling Nailers - Maine Mariners Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Gauthier T. (G)
33. Cavallin L. (G)
28. Andrew T.
10. Allison B.
21. Armstrong C.
26. Anderson N.
42. Breazeale D.
23. Andreev M.
54. De St. Phalle M.
44. Bellamy J.
83. Edwards B.
13. Cronin R.
36. Graham M.
4. Deveaux W.
51. Johnson B.
16. Element S.
17. Kuqali A.
20. Gallatin O.
61. McAllister R.
21. Hemstrom L.
79. Pieniniemi E.
92. Hudson J.
13. Pietila L.
55. Johansson L.
12. Posma M.
27. Jordan Z.
22. Quercia M.
9. Kalmikov B.
23. Renwick N.
19. Lamppa X.
47. Shoudy T.
2. Massicotte Z.
8. Sutter A.
14. Perreault J.
24. Thompson T.
3. Underwood M.
34. Urdahl Z.
8. Venuto A.
Substitutes
60. D'Aigle G. (G)
1. Arvanitis B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
07:08, 1 - 0, Quercia M. (G), Andrew T. (A), Pieniniemi E. (A2)
13:58, 2 - 0, Andrew T. (G), Pieniniemi E. (A), Johnson B. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:14, 2 - 1, Gallatin O. (G), Cronin R. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
16:53, 3 - 1, De St. Phalle M. (G), Edwards B. (A), McAllister R. (A2)
18:29, 4 - 1, Urdahl Z. (G),
18:51, 4 - 2, Deveaux W. (G), Johansson L. (A),
19:33, 4 - 3, Cronin R. (G), Element S. (A),
Preview
Series tied 3-3. Seventh leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wheeling won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Wheeling won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:36. (average 2.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Wheeling won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 3.1:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Wheeling Nailers - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.14%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.