Match Info
WORLD: World ChampionshipDate: 21 May 2024, TuesdayLocation: Ostravar Arena (Ostrava)Referee: Hronsky T. (Svk)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Bulgaria | Ring |
Czech-republic | CT sport |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport |
Germany | Magenta Sport |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport |
Sweden | TV6, Viaplay |
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 |
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France |
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Germany |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
7.25 |
5.75 |
1.33 |
Watch |
 |
7.25 |
5.75 |
1.34 |
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 |
8 |
6.6 |
1.31 |
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 |
5.97 |
5.39 |
1.28 |
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 |
5.97 |
5.39 |
1.28 |
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 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
1.3 |
|
 |
7.35 |
6.06 |
1.34 |
Watch |
 |
7.4 |
5.8 |
1.35 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.96 ↑ (5.22) |
5.82 ↑ (5.08) |
1.32 ↓ (1.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
France 13.4% | Draw 16% | Germany 70.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Germany's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Germany, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.France - Germany Predictions
Users Predictions:
Germany will win
(26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.18% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
32. Papillon Q. (G) Bordeaux
| 30. Grubauer P. (G) Seattle Kraken
|
5. Guebey E. Davos
| 6. Wissmann K. Eisbaren Berlin
|
18. Auvitu Y. (A) Vitkovice
| 41. Muller J. Eisbaren Berlin
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94. Bozon T. Lausanne
| 33. Peterka J. Buffalo Sabres
|
41. Bellemare P-E. (A) Seattle Kraken
| 19. Stachowiak W. ERC Ingolstadt
|
77. Treille S. (C) Grenoble
| 73. Reichel L. Chicago Blackhawks
|
| Line 2 |
|---|
27. Cantagallo E. Rouen
| 27. Szuber M. Arizona Coyotes
|
62. Chakiachvili F. Rouen
| 91. Muller Mor. (C) Kolner Haie
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3. Bertrand C. ERC Ingolstadt
| 72. Kahun D. (A) Bern
|
29. Boudon L. Iowa Wild
| 78. Sturm N. San Jose Sharks
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81. Rech A. Rouen
| 95. Tiffels F. Eisbaren Berlin
|
| Line 3 |
|---|
6. Llorca V. Angers
| 38. Wagner F. ERC Ingolstadt
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7. Crinon P. Grenoble
| 49. Kaelble L. Adler Mannheim
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12. Claireaux V. Vitkovice
| 83. Pfoederl L. Eisbaren Berlin
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24. Addamo J. Wheeling Nailers
| 65. Michaelis M. Adler Mannheim
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72. Perret J. Mountfield HK
| 42. Ehliz Y. (A) Munchen
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| Line 4 |
|---|
74. Thiry T. Ajoie
| 5. Fohrler T. Adler Mannheim
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91. Bruche B. Bordeaux
| 79. Ugbekile C. Iserlohn Roosters
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90. Dair A. Grenoble
| 40. Ehl A. Dusseldorf
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11. Colomban R. Briancon
| 7. Kastner M. Munchen
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95. Bozon K. Ajoie
| 62. Tuomie P.
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| Substitutes |
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33. Junca J. (G) Chicago Wolves
| 35. Niederberger M. (G) Munchen
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Bozon P.
| . Kreis H.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 00:31, Addamo J. (2 min),
- 16:49, 1 - 0, Claireaux V. (G), Addamo J. (A), Perret J. (A2)
- 16:56, Guebey E. (2 min),
- 19:04, 1 - 1, Michaelis M. (G), Kahun D. (A), Ehliz Y. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 3)
- 01:09, 2 - 1, Rech A. (G), Boudon L. (A), Chakiachvili F. (A2)
- 03:09, Sturm N. (2 min),
- 05:56, 2 - 2, Kaelble L. (G), Stachowiak W. (A), Peterka J. (A2)
- 06:18, 3 - 2, Treille S. (G), Bozon T. (A), Guebey E. (A2)
- 11:01, 3 - 3, Stachowiak W. (G), Reichel L. (A),
- 11:23, 3 - 4, Kastner M. (G), Michaelis M. (A), Szuber M. (A2)
- 18:12, Cantagallo E. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 01:19, 3 - 5, Stachowiak W. (G),
- 04:37, Auvitu Y. (2 min),
- 04:50, 3 - 6, Reichel L. (G), Sturm N. (A), Pfoederl L. (A2)
- 04:50, Papillon Q. ↓, Junca J. ↑,
- 07:30, Perret J. (2 min),
- 07:30, Stachowiak W. (2 min),
- 07:30, Crinon P. (2 min),
- 14:23, Tiffels F. (5 min),
- 14:23, Perret J. (2 min),
- 19:42, Addamo J. (2 min),
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)). Germany is Qualified for World Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)Last 5 head-to-head matches France won 1. France is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Germany is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Germany could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Germany is absolute favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches France won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 26-53.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;