The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fribourg-Gottéron 41.3%
Draw 22.4%
Bern 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
21.3%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
23%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fribourg-Gottéron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fribourg-Gottéron's form might have worsened.
Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bern's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fribourg-Gottéron, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
04:51, 1 - 1, Bertschy C. (G), Sorensen M. (A), Rathgeb Y. (A2)
09:55, Mottard P. (2 min),
13:13, De La Rose J. (2 min),
16:52, 2 - 1, De La Rose J. (G), Bertschy C. (A), Richard A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:54, Streule M. (2 min),
02:26, 3 - 1, Bertschy C. (G), Schmid S. (A),
06:43, Rhyn N. (2 min),
09:40, 3 - 2, Dionicio R. (G), Aaltonen M. (A), Milano S. (A2)
13:56, Marchon M. (2 min),
16:21, Mitchell I. (2 min),
18:06, 4 - 2, Reber J. (G), Richard A. (A), Taibel J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:44, Milano S. (2 min),
05:11, Grangier M. (2 min),
08:24, Jecker B. (2 min),
14:30, Streule M. (2 min),
18:32, 5 - 2, Schmid S. (G), Sorensen M. (A),
19:57, Graf A. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fribourg-Gottéron won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Bern could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fribourg-Gottéron has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:46 (averaging 3:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fribourg-Gottéron against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:17 goals (averaging 2.8:1.9 per game).
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Fribourg: 9.18% Bern: 7.51%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Fribourg
11
4
2
2
3
38:29
18
9
Bern
9
3
1
3
2
27:26
14
Last Results with these Odds
Fribourg-Gottéron - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.69%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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