Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: BCF-Arena (Fribourg)

Referee: Brander R. (Fin) - Kohlmuller L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2


	Fribourg-Gottéron		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	4.2	3.8
	1.74	4.2	3.55
	1.84	4.1	3.45
	1.89	3.87	3.36
	1.85	4	3.4
	1.84	4.3	3.42	Watch
	1.85	4.1	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.5)	4.11 ↓ (5)	3.49 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fribourg-Gottéron
50.9%

Draw
22.5%

Red Bull Salzburg
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

18.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

18.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fribourg-Gottéron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fribourg-Gottéron's form might have worsened.

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fribourg-Gottéron, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Fribourg Gottéron - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fribourg-Gottéron will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Red Bull Salzburg will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fribourg-Gottéron: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Fribourg-Gottéron is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Red Bull Salzburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Red Bull Salzburg have a series of home games.

In this match Fribourg-Gottéron is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fribourg-Gottéron won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fribourg-Gottéron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Fribourg-Gotteron
Swiss National League Hockey
09.10.22	Fribourg-Gottéron - Bern	1:2 OT ✺
07.10.22	Davos - Fribourg-Gottéron	2:3 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
05.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Fribourg-Gottéron	0:1 ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
01.10.22	Fribourg-Gottéron - SCL Tigers	1:2 OT ✺
30.09.22	Genève-Servette - Fribourg-Gottéron	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL
- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Ice Hockey League
07.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano	2:5 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
05.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Fribourg-Gottéron	0:1 ✺
Austrian Ice Hockey League
02.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg - EC KAC	4:6 ✺
30.09.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	3:0 ✺
25.09.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Graz 99ers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
05.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Fribourg-Gottéron	0:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.16	Fribourg-Gottéron - Red Bull Salzburg	3:4 OT
19.02.14	Fribourg-Gottéron - Red Bull Salzburg	3:1
18.02.14	Fribourg-Gottéron - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1

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