The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
GKS Jastrzębie 38.9%
Draw 22.3%
Polonia Bytom 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
23.1%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
25.3%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
GKS Jastrzębie - Polonia Bytom Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Michalski K. (G)
1. Jaworski T. (G)
76. Bagin E.
11. Kurnicki O.
11. Alho A.
34. Musiol D.
80. Saarelainen M.
24. Bepierszcz M.
28. Stella J.
9. Jarosz D.
82. Kasperlik M.
86. Wielkiewicz F.
Line 2
56. Adamek J.
23. Kubes J.
4. Bezuska P.
17. Gorny K.
44. Laszkiewicz O.
91. Vorona O.
21. Savolainen J.
44. Fadyeyev Y.
92. Urbanowicz M.
16. Petrazycki T.
Line 3
13. Onak J.
77. Osenieks E.
9. Charvat M.
43. Hrebenyk A.
20. Nalewajka L.
12. Buyalsky A.
26. Stolarski B.
94. Mroczkowski C.
22. Nalewajka R.
21. Padakin P.
Line 4
3. Hanzel P.
74. Proczek M.
24. Bieniek S.
8. Bodora A.
91. Zajac W.
19. Kociszewski M.
71. Mos K.
38. Karasinski A.
87. Osiadly M.
10. Wicher S.
Substitutes
90. Futryk J. (G)
31. Kuznetsov M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:16, 1 - 0, Bagin E. (Penalty Shot),
10:29, 1 - 1, Mroczkowski C. (G), Buyalsky A. (A), Osenieks E. (A2)
12:43, 1 - 2, Padakin P. (G), Mroczkowski C. (A), Buyalsky A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 4.
In recent outings, GKS Jastrzębie has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bytom shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
GKS Jastrzębie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Bytom has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, GKS Jastrzębie has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 71:41 (averaging 3.6:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for GKS Jastrzębie against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 28:16 goals (averaging 3.5:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Bytom
9
7
0
0
2
41:18
21
8
Jastrzebie
8
2
1
0
5
15:26
8
Last Results with these Odds
GKS Jastrzębie - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.