The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
GKS Jastrzębie 15.5%
Draw 17.5%
Zagłębie Sosnowiec 67%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.6%
17.1%
68.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.3%
19.1%
61.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Holsa P. (G)
21. Miarka M. (G)
3. Hanzel P.
7. Olkkonen J.
11. Alho A.
59. Sozanski M.
80. Saarelainen M.
88. Savilahti E.
28. Stella J.
57. Heikkinen V.
21. Savolainen J.
87. Peresunko A.
Line 2
76. Bagin E.
77. Narog M.
4. Bezuska P.
6. Ciura B.
82. Kasperlik M.
18. Roine M.
26. Stolarski B.
55. Gromadzki A.
92. Urbanowicz M.
8. Chmielewski A.
Line 3
9. Charvat M.
51. Wanacki J.
13. Onak J.
9. Bilas K.
44. Laszkiewicz O.
94. Sirkia V.
18. Kolat D.
27. Zachariasz O.
22. Nalewajka R.
13. Brynkus S.
Line 4
24. Bieniek S.
4. Krawczyk O.
56. Adamek J.
10. Ciepielewski P.
91. Zajac W.
98. Bernacki M.
71. Mos K.
97. Dawid M.
87. Osiadly M.
96. Musiol J.
Substitutes
90. Futryk J. (G)
33. Kaarlehto K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
13:01, 1 - 0, Saarelainen M. (G), Savolainen J. (A), Stella J. (A2)
16:19, 1 - 1, Savilahti E. (G), Narog M. (A), Chmielewski A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:00, 1 - 2, Heikkinen V. (G), Olkkonen J. (A), Peresunko A. (A2)
18:00, 1 - 3, Dawid M. (G), Musiol J. (A), Sozanski M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
15:30, 2 - 3, Hanzel P. (G), Alho A. (A), Savolainen J. (A2)
19:40, 2 - 4, Heikkinen V. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 2.
In recent outings, GKS Jastrzębie has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Zagłębie is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Zagłębie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Zagłębie as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, GKS Jastrzębie has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 75:43 (averaging 3.8:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for GKS Jastrzębie against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 30:18 goals (averaging 3.8:2.3 per game).