The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genève-Servette 42.9%
Draw 22.1%
Lugano 35%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.3%
21.8%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
22.8%
41.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genève-Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genève-Servette than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genève-Servette that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Genève Servette - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Charlin S. (G)
88. Mayer R. (G)
3. Boqvist A.
60. Thomson L.
90. Le Coultre S. (C)
52. Peltonen J.
94. Bozon T.
17. Fazzini L. (A)
19. Jooris J. (A)
21. Sanford Z.
16. Vesey J.
15. Lycksell O.
Line 2
44. Rutta J.
26. Aebischer D.
18. Henauer M.
9. Zanetti B.
9. Puljujarvi J.
19. Kupari R.
23. Verboon M. (A)
97. Thurkauf C. (C)
85. Miranda M.
12. Innala J.
Line 3
77. Sutter D.
5. Guebey E.
25. Karrer R.
22. Alatalo S. (A)
80. Ignatavicius S.
7. Tanner R.
67. Hedlund W.
73. Shore N.
93. Lemyre T.
91. Olsson D.
Line 4
40. Vouardoux T.
81. Togni E.
98. Achermann R.
11. Zanetti M.
21. Achermann O.
23. Morini G.
88. Dandois A.
27. Henry C.
Substitutes
39. Van Pottelberghe J. (G)
13. Peltonen A.
34. Schlegel N. (G)
Coaches
. Hallam S.
. Mitell T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 4)
05:39, 0 - 1, Sanford Z. (G), Fazzini L. (A),
09:21, 0 - 2, Fazzini L. (G), Sanford Z. (A), Lycksell O. (A2)
09:52, Karrer R. (2 min),
10:55, Boqvist A. (2 min),
12:22, 0 - 3, Innala J. (G), Thomson L. (A),
16:02, 0 - 4, Thurkauf C. (G), Guebey E. (A), Innala J. (A2)
16:02, Charlin S. ↓, Van Pottelberghe J. ↑,
17:33, Olsson D. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:04, Aebischer D. (2 min),
15:24, 0 - 5, Shore N. (G), Aebischer D. (A), Olsson D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
11:02, 1 - 5, Bozon T. (G), Le Coultre S. (A), Boqvist A. (A2)
17:29, Fazzini L. (2 min),
17:29, Le Coultre S. (2 min),
17:29, Fazzini L. (2 min),
19:51, 2 - 5, Boqvist A. (G), Dandois A. (A), Bozon T. (A2)
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genève-Servette won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Genève-Servette may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Genève-Servette in today's match, at odds of 2.37.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Genève-Servette has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:62 (averaging 2.9:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Genève-Servette against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 29:20 goals (averaging 3.2:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Servette
17
6
3
2
6
45:53
26
10
Lugano
17
6
1
2
8
53:58
22
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Servette: 12.19% Lugano: 4.38%
Last Results with these Odds
Genève-Servette - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.27%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Lugano - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.91%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Czech Republic
Finland
Slovakia
Switzerland
Watch
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Charlin S. (G) 
Boqvist A. 
Thomson L. 
Bozon T. 
Jooris J. (A) 
Sanford Z. 
Rutta J. 
Ignatavicius S. 
Hedlund W. 
Olsson D. 
Zanetti M. 
Achermann O. 
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