Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Gomel		Lokomotiv Orsha

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.60	4.75
	1.42	5.21	5.73
	1.40	5.15	5.65
	1.34	5.20	6.19	Watch
	1.42	4.60	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)	4.95 ↑ (4.77)	5.46 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gomel
64.8%

Draw
18.5%

Lokomotiv Orsha
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

19.3%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

20%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Karchevsky A. (G)	31. Karachun V. (G)
4. Gostev A.	71. Kamenkov M.
43. Anokhin N.	88. Petruchik R.
9. Sapelnikov Y.	91. Matyushenko M.
13. Sobhy N.	10. Razvadovsky P.
95. Kunishnikov M.	24. Makarov V.
Line 2
11. Khoromando M.	33. Zozon B.
72. Kudin Y.	96. Gordeichik M.
71. Titov N.	28. Sobko D.
28. Gaidamak V.	87. Savchenko N.
7. Kravchenko V.	16. Borozna T.
Line 3
22. Arkhiptsev A.	73. Yerokho V.
89. Lipsky D.	8. Gavrilovich T.
10. Sekerin I.	9. Nozdrachev Y.
46. Kachelovsky O.	12. Speshilov I.
19. Voitovich M.	19. Litvin N.
Line 4
3. Shatilo I.	97. Saglayev I.
17. Kolyshkin D.	77. Shurinov I.
88. Ponomartsev I.	90. Kachan F.
78. Ushev B.	92. Stakhov S.
Substitutes
80. Gavrilovich P.	79. Burunov M. (G)
98. Lubsky M. (G)	14. Ignatsky N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
05:25, 1 - 0, Sapelnikov Y. (G), Kunishnikov M. (A), Sobhy N. (A2)
07:30, 2 - 0, Sapelnikov Y. (G), Sobhy N. (A),
08:08, 3 - 0, Titov N. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:29, 4 - 0, Voitovich M. (G), Kachelovsky O. (A), Sekerin I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:45, 4 - 1, Kachan F. (G), Razvadovsky P. (A), Kamenkov M. (A2)
13:18, 5 - 1, Sobhy N. (G), Anokhin N. (A), Kunishnikov M. (A2)
18:27, 5 - 2, Sobko D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 4.

In recent outings, Gomel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lokomotiv Orsha has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Gomel has faced a series of away games on the road.

Gomel carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Gomel in today's match, at odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gomel has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:42 (averaging 3.2:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gomel against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 43:30 goals (averaging 3.3:2.3 per game).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Gomel: 9.9% Lokomotiv Orsha: 0.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Gomel	11	6	1	2	2	37:25	16
12	Lokomotiv Orsha	11	1	2	1	7	27:46	7

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Orsha - the odds 5.04 are the expected chance of winning is 18.25%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gomel Hockey
Belarusian Extraleague
03.10.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:3 ✺
29.09.26	Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk - Gomel	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk - Gomel	0:5 ✺
24.09.26	Brest - Gomel	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Brest - Gomel	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW
- Lokomotiv Orsha
Belarusian Extraleague
03.10.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:3 ✺
29.09.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Lida	5:4 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Lida	4:5 ✺
24.09.26	Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:1 ✺
22.09.26	Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
03.10.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:3
Belarusian Cup Hockey
09.08.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:0
Belarusian Extraleague
23.02.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	5:2
21.02.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	3:2 penalties
12.11.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Gomel	3:0
10.11.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Gomel	1:4
Belarusian Cup Hockey
10.08.25	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	0:1

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