Match Info
Belarusian CupDate: 16 August 2026, Sunday
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Vitebsk |
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Lokomotiv Orsha |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.25 |
6.50 |
7.00 |
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 |
1.26 |
5.81 |
7.17 |
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 |
1.24 |
5.75 |
7.05 |
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 |
1.2 |
6.35 |
9.05 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.48) |
6.1 ↑
(4.63) |
7.57 ↑
(4.64) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vitebsk
73.2% | Draw
14.8% | Lokomotiv Orsha
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitebsk's performance.Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Orsha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Orsha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 12:22, 0 - 1, Ignatsky A. (G), Nozdrachev Y. (A),
- 2nd Period (5 - 0)
- 09:52, 1 - 1, Astankov Y. (G), Lemeshevsky M. (A), Levko A. (A2)
- 11:14, 2 - 1, Kupchikhin P. (G), Yadroets N. (A),
- 11:58, 3 - 1, Levko A. (G), Barinov S. (A), Ozerov M. (A2)
- 12:43, 4 - 1, Stepanov Y. (G), Kupchikhin P. (A), Yadroets N. (A2)
- 16:01, 5 - 1, Astankov Y. (G), Lemeshevsky M. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:23, 5 - 2, Razvadovsky P. (G), Borozna T. (A), Petruchik R. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 4.Recent performances by Vitebsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Lokomotiv Orsha is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Lokomotiv Orsha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Vitebsk is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 73:40. (average 3.7:2).Including home matches between the teams, Vitebsk won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:21. (average 5:2.3).
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Last Results with these Odds
Vitebsk - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.09%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.
Lokomotiv Orsha - the odds 4.64 are the expected chance of winning is 19.42%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Belarusian Extraleague | | | 18.02.26 | Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha | 9:5 | | 16.02.26 | Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha | 5:1 | | 20.10.25 | Lokomotiv Orsha - Vitebsk | 2:1 OT | | 18.10.25 | Lokomotiv Orsha - Vitebsk | 1:3 | | Belarusian Cup Hockey | | | 08.08.25 | Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha | 3:2 | | Belarusian Extraleague | | | 18.01.25 | Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha | 5:2 | | 16.01.25 | Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha | 3:4 OT |
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