Match Info

Championship

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Khiuaz Dospanova (Atyrau)


	Beibarys Atyrau		Nomad

	1	X	2
	4.75	5.00	1.42
	4.5	4.75	1.49	Watch
	4.65	6	1.42	Watch
	5.4	5.3	1.4
	5.14	5.15	1.41
	5.25	5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↓ (4.98)	5.2 ↓ (5.6)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibarys Atyrau
18.4%

Draw
17.5%

Nomad
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

16.4%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

17.7%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Beibarys Atyrau have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nomad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibarys Atyrau than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Mikushin A. (G)	72. Lytkin D. (G)
28. Aktayev A.	5. Boiko O. (C)
70. Ananichev Ar.	78. Dvurechensky K.
14. Asukhanov Y.	67. Gafurov A.
33. Bilimbayev D.	58. Ibragim S.
94. Dorofeyev Y. (A)	51. Kitarov T.
10. Gasnikov E. (C)	31. Korolyov A. (A)
13. Guseinov I.	85. Makarov A.
99. Gusev A.	68. Mangisbayev A.
57. Gusseinov M.	22. Medvedev D.
11. Ionkin M.	69. Merzlikin N.
23. Kovzalov I.	87. Nikitin K. (A)
27. Miller D.	77. Ruslanuly A.
41. Miroshnichenko D.	66. Shulga N.
68. Orlov Y. (A)	24. Simakhin A.
86. Polyskiy N.	86. Simonov T.
9. Shishov A.	74. Suleimenov A.
80. Shlychkov V.	17. Tsybin D.
44. Telgozhayev R.	9. Tusupbekov R.
97. Tkachyov V.
18. Yerkinov D.
Substitutes
90. Shefer R. (G)	35. Shestakov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:36, 1 - 0, Gasnikov E. (G), Asukhanov Y. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
11:00, 1 - 1, Nikitin K. (G),
15:32, 1 - 2, Mangisbayev A. (G), Shulga N. (A), Tsybin D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beibarys won 0.

In recent outings, Beibarys has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nomad is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Beibarys could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Nomad carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Beibarys has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:77 (averaging 1.9:3.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Beibarys against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with 14:45 goals (averaging 1.3:4.1 per game).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Nomad Astana: 26.19% Beibarys Atyrau: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Nomad Astana	17	12	3	2	0	79:34	32
8	Beibarys Atyrau	16	3	0	2	11	36:55	8

Last Results with these Odds

Beibarys Atyrau - the odds 4.98 are the expected chance of winning is 18.45%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibarys Atyrau
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
23.09.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Arlan Kokshetau	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Arlan Kokshetau	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Beibarys Atyrau	1:8 ✺
10.09.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Beibarys Atyrau	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW
- Nomad Astana
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
23.09.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Aktobe - Nomad	3:5 ✺
19.09.26	Aktobe - Nomad	3:6 ✺
11.09.26	Nomad - Almaty	6:1 ✺
10.09.26	Nomad - Almaty	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
23.09.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad	1:3
22.01.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad	0:8
10.10.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad	1:2 OT
09.10.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad	3:6
13.09.25	Nomad - Beibarys Atyrau	4:0
12.09.25	Nomad - Beibarys Atyrau	2:3 OT
10.10.24	Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad	1:2

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