Match Info

Championship

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gornyak Arena (Rudny) 🌤️ ...


	Gornyak Rudny		Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk

	1	X	2
	15.00	11.64	1.04	Watch
	6.23	5.15	1.36
	5.82	5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.02 ↑ (5.82)	7.26 ↑ (5)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak Rudny
10.6%

Draw
13.1%

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
76.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.4%

17.9%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

18.2%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak Rudny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak Rudny than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gornyak Rudny - Torpedo Ust Kamenogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Nurek V. (G)	1. Pestov V. (G)
22. Anisimov P.	67. Aldabergenov E.
4. Bazko D.	11. Alexandrov S.
11. Dyachenko D.	8. Borovikov S.
27. Gurin V.	68. Borovkov V.
7. Katkov A.	85. Bykov D.
47. Kozorez A.	71. Glukhikh A.
71. Kritsin L.	37. Grebenschikov V.
28. Krotov V.	92. Grents D.
93. Lazarev S.	55. Khoroshev F.
15. Lyapunov N.	13. Klyauzov I.
25. Omelkovets D.	16. Kolobov N.
19. Parkhomenko D.	24. Musorov M.
35. Platonov D.	15. Panchenko A.
10. Rakhimov S.	79. Pelevin A.
9. Revatsky A.	19. Rakhmanov M.
24. Ryazanov D.	52. Runov A.
52. Stepanov Y.	98. Rysbekov D.
8. Utebayev R.	65. Ryzhy I.
17. Yulbarisov O.	77. Tyutyunkov Y.
87. Zavyalov M.	76. Yakovlev A.
Substitutes
30. Shinkovskiy A. (G)	30. Cherepanov G. (G)
40. Tikhonov V. (G)	20. Yankov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
01:42, 0 - 1, Aldabergenov E. (G), Grents D. (A),
02:06, 0 - 2, Khoroshev F. (G),
10:20, 1 - 2, Krotov V. (G), Gurin V. (A),
15:08, 2 - 2, Stepanov Y. (G), Gurin V. (A), Yulbarisov O. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:01, 2 - 3, Borovkov V. (G), Musorov M. (A),
10:52, 2 - 4, Grents D. (G), Panchenko A. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
03:32, 3 - 4, Krotov V. (G), Yulbarisov O. (A),
06:20, 4 - 4, Gurin V. (G), Stepanov Y. (A),
09:12, 5 - 4, Stepanov Y. (G), Yulbarisov O. (A), Gurin V. (A2)
19:06, 5 - 5, Grents D. (G), Khoroshev F. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:52, 5 - 6, Borovikov S. (G), Grents D. (A), Pestov V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak Rudny won 1.

Gornyak Rudny has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torpedo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Torpedo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gornyak Rudny won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:55. (average 2.9:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak Rudny won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 2.4:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak Rudny
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
16.09.25	Gornyak Rudny - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny	3:1 ✺
12.09.25	Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny	5:3 ✺
09.09.25	Almaty - Gornyak Rudny	1:4 ✺
08.09.25	Almaty - Gornyak Rudny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
16.09.25	Gornyak Rudny - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	2:6 ✺
11.09.25	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:3 ✺
08.09.25	Arlan Kokshetau - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	0:9 ✺
07.09.25	Arlan Kokshetau - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
16.09.25	Gornyak Rudny - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	0:2
24.01.25	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Gornyak Rudny	3:1
23.01.25	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Gornyak Rudny	3:1
20.09.24	Gornyak Rudny - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	1:4
19.09.24	Gornyak Rudny - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:1
19.01.24	Gornyak Rudny - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	2:3 penalties
21.12.23	Gornyak Rudny - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:3

Gornyak Rudny - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk