Match Info

NMHL

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Granit Chekhov		Fakel Salekhard

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	4.93
	1.35	5.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	5.38 ↑ (5.13)	4.84 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granit Chekhov
64.6%

Draw
16.8%

Fakel Salekhard
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.4%

17.6%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

19%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granit Chekhov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Fakel Salekhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granit Chekhov than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granit Chekhov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel Salekhard than the current prediction. (+3%)

Granit Chekhov - Fakel Salekhard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
02:37, 1 - 0, Iljin K. (G), Tataurov S. (A),
06:50, 2 - 0, Dubinin D. (G), Oniskiv B. (A),
11:54, 3 - 0, Polikarpov F. (G), Klimov D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:19, 3 - 1, Filyakov S. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granit won 3.

Granit is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fakel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Granit is a strong favorite.

We predict that Granit will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Granit won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 3.1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Granit won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 4.2:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Granit Chekhov - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 62.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granit Chekhov
RHL
18.02.26	Granit Chekhov - Fakel Salekhard	6:2 ✺
10.02.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	1:2 penalties ✺
09.02.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	2:3 ✺
06.02.26	Bryansk - Granit Chekhov	3:5 ✺
05.02.26	Bryansk - Granit Chekhov	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW
- Fakel Salekhard
RHL
18.02.26	Granit Chekhov - Fakel Salekhard	6:2 ✺
15.02.26	Kaluga - Fakel Salekhard	3:4 ✺
14.02.26	Kaluga - Fakel Salekhard	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Bryansk - Fakel Salekhard	6:4 ✺
10.02.26	Bryansk - Fakel Salekhard	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
18.02.26	Granit Chekhov - Fakel Salekhard	6:2
23.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Granit Chekhov	2:1 penalties
22.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Granit Chekhov	5:4
23.02.25	Granit Chekhov - Fakel Salekhard	4:3
22.02.25	Granit Chekhov - Fakel Salekhard	6:3
10.11.24	Fakel Salekhard - Granit Chekhov	5:2
09.11.24	Fakel Salekhard - Granit Chekhov	3:1

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