Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Steel Arena (Košice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play


	HC Košice		HC Dukla Trenčín

	1	X	2
	1.80	4.30	3.30
	1.75	4.20	3.70
	1.76	4.70	3.35
	1.74	4.05	3.53
	1.76	4.33	3.67	Watch
	1.71	4.00	3.45
	1.71	4.20	3.76	Watch
	1.75	4.30	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)	4.26 ↓ (4.41)	3.54 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC Košice
52.5%

Draw
21.5%

HC Dukla Trenčín
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

21%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

22%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC Košice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

HC Dukla Trenčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Košice than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

HC Košice - HC Dukla Trenčín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Riecicky D. (G)	34. Hrenak D. (G)
65. Bucko M.	58. Merkley R.
44. Rosandic M.	2. Mikus J.
92. Jurco T.	4. Descheneau J.
97. Jellus S.	26. Barron T.
23. Mikus T.	31. Lakatos D.
Line 2
26. Dakhnovsky O.	89. Ferenc J.
71. Sedivy E.	77. Kupec S.
81. Bires A.	92. Bubela M.
34. Balaz J.	91. Krajc S.
94. Liscinsky M.	9. Siska J.
Line 3
55. Bartos A.	33. Hatala A.
18. Deyl R.	74. Hlavac M.
63. Lamper P.	22. Lunter L.
24. Havrila M.	72. Linden T.
77. Rogon P.	93. Sop M.
Line 4
22. Panasenko B.	44. Hrenak M.
11. Elias J.	14. Krajcovic A.
73. Kiss T.	18. Kalis M.
	41. Kudrna A.
Substitutes
30. Jurcak P. (G)	30. Latkoczy S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
11:55, 0 - 1, Descheneau J. (G),
13:17, 1 - 1, Deyl R. (G), Bartos A. (A), Liscinsky M. (A2)
19:27, 1 - 2, Kudrna A. (G), Ferenc J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:06, 2 - 2, Havrila M. (G), Sedivy E. (A), Bucko M. (A2)
14:08, 3 - 2, Mikus T. (G), Jurco T. (A), Rosandic M. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 7th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Košice won 4.

In recent outings, Košice has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dukla Trenčín is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Košice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Košice carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Košice has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 71:40 (averaging 3.6:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Košice against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 27:18 goals (averaging 3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Kosice	12	7	1	0	4	36:28	23
7	Dukla Trencin	11	5	1	1	4	30:29	18

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Kosice: 8.17% Dukla Trencin: 4.26%

Last Results with these Odds

HC Dukla Trenčín - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.35%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Košice
Slovak Extraliga
09.10.26	Zvolen - HC Košice	1:4 ✺
03.10.26	HC Košice - Dukla Michalovce	6:3 ✺
02.10.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - HC Košice	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	MsHK Žilina - HC Košice	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	HC Košice - Poprad	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- HC Dukla Trenčín
Slovak Extraliga
09.10.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - Nitra	5:2 ✺
04.10.26	Prešov - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:3 ✺
02.10.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - Spišská Nová Ves	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Zvolen - HC Dukla Trenčín	1:3 ✺
25.09.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - Dukla Michalovce	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
08.03.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - HC Košice	2:3
30.01.26	HC Košice - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:1
23.11.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - HC Košice	2:1
12.10.25	HC Košice - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:1
28.03.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - HC Košice	2:7
26.03.25	HC Košice - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:1
24.03.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - HC Košice	3:6

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