The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HC Plzeň 1929 42.5%
Draw 23.6%
Mountfield Hradec Králové 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
22.6%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
24.4%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC Plzeň 1929 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Mountfield Hradec Králové has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HC Plzeň 1929 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mountfield Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mountfield Hradec Králové could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HC Plzeň 1929 - Mountfield Hradec Králové Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Malik N. (G)
33. Vomacka T. (G)
2. MacPherson D.
12. McCormack G.
94. Rubins K.
29. Kalina P.
17. Rohlik O.
69. Radil L. (C)
12. Lalancette C. (A)
25. Tamasi A.
22. Mechura A.
94. Perret J. (A)
Line 2
13. Merezhko I.
23. Melancon T.J.
8. Malak D.
51. Vukojevic M.
18. Strnad L.
26. Jergl A.
42. Filip M. (A)
34. Klima Kev.
92. Teply M.
90. Kousal R.
Line 3
27. Robertson C.
89. Mudrak D.
5. Jerabek J. (C)
40. Koch A.
63. Petman M.
7. Nenonen M.
49. Simon D.
48. Cacho V.
84. Schleiss J.
46. Kohout M. (A)
Line 4
16. Cech A.
74. Modry J.
30. Lev J.
4. Sykora D.
23. Petman V.
62. Pilar R.
14. Sedlacek I.
98. Pavlik R.
Substitutes
33. Ruzicka J. (G)
2. Kasal J. (G)
44. Zemlicka R.
Coaches
. Veber J.
. Martinec T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
01:32, Malak D. (2 min),
01:38, Melancon T.J. (2 min),
04:14, 1 - 0, Rohlik O. (G), Lalancette C. (A), MacPherson D. (A2)
08:52, 1 - 1, Nenonen M. (G), Cacho V. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:18, 2 - 1, MacPherson D. (G), Petman V. (A), Petman M. (A2)
06:38, Jerabek J. (2 min),
16:48, Rubins K. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
09:06, Vukojevic M. (2 min),
11:30, Petman M. (2 min),
12:57, Pavlik R. (2 min),
18:42, Melancon T.J. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Mountfield may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Plzeň has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Plzeň: Soukup M.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Mountfield: Miskar P.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Mountfield: Planek M.
(Leg Injury)
Skorvanek S.
(Personal Reasons).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Plzeň has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:62 (averaging 2.2:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Plzeň against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 21:27 goals (averaging 2.1:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Plzen
9
3
2
1
3
23:21
14
7
Mountfield HK
9
3
2
0
4
25:25
13
Last Results with these Odds
HC Plzeň 1929 - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.