Match Info

D1 - Play Out - Final

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	HCMP		Nantes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.17	4.55	2.37
	2.21	4.26	2.5	Watch
	2.2	4.05	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.23)	4.29 ↑ (4.09)	2.44 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HCMP
41.5%

Draw
21.2%

Nantes
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

22.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

24.4%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HCMP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HCMP than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

HCMP - Nantes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

HCMP leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that HCMP will win today's game, with odds of 2.23.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, HCMP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:11. (average 3:2.8).

Including home match between the teams, HCMP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Nantes	2	1	0	1	0	5:3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Nantes - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.69%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hockey Courchevel Méribel Pralognan
French D1 Ice Hockey
18.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	3:5 ✺
14.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 ✺
13.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	HCMP - Dogs de Cholet	3:2 ✺
03.03.26	HCMP - Lyon	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LWWWL
- Nantes Atlantique Hockey Glace
French D1 Ice Hockey
18.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	3:5 ✺
14.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 ✺
13.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Nantes - Lyon	1:7 ✺
28.02.26	Épinal - Nantes	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
18.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	3:5
14.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3
13.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3
24.01.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 penalties

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