Match Info

Auroraliiga Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Pirkkolan jaahalli (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max


	HIFK		HPK

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.85	2.2
	2.9	4	1.85
	3.12	4.05	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)	3.97 ↓ (4)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
31.9%

Draw
22.7%

HPK
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

22.2%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

23.6%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

HIFK - HPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
13:25, 1 - 0, Salonen P. (G), Locatelli A. (A), Turunen E. (A2)
18:48, 2 - 0, Juusela E. (G), Salonen P. (A), Suhonen S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:59, 3 - 0, Turunen E. (G), Salonen P. (A), Kuhta J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:47, 4 - 0, Suhonen S. (G), Palin I. (A),

Preview

Hameenlinna leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

HPK might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 54:48. (average 2.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.6:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	IFK Helsinki W	11	7	3	0	1	35:20	27
3	Hameenlinna W	12	6	0	1	5	44:33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK Hockey Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
21.03.26	HPK - HIFK	5:1 ✺
19.03.26	HIFK - HPK	3:2 penalties ✺
15.03.26	HPK - HIFK	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	HIFK - HPK	2:3 penalties ✺
11.03.26	HPK - HIFK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLLW
- HPK Hockey Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
21.03.26	HPK - HIFK	5:1 ✺
19.03.26	HIFK - HPK	3:2 penalties ✺
15.03.26	HPK - HIFK	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	HIFK - HPK	2:3 penalties ✺
11.03.26	HPK - HIFK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
21.03.26	HPK - HIFK	5:1
19.03.26	HIFK - HPK	3:2 penalties
15.03.26	HPK - HIFK	4:1
14.03.26	HIFK - HPK	2:3 penalties
11.03.26	HPK - HIFK	1:2
21.02.26	HIFK - HPK	2:3
17.12.25	HIFK - HPK	3:0

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