Match Info

Auroraliiga Women

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Jääliikuntakeskus Hakio (Hämeenlinna)


	HPK		Kiekko-Espoo

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.5
	4.4	4.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (4.4)	4.45 ↑ (4.4)	1.51 (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPK
20.2%

Draw
20.2%

Kiekko-Espoo
59.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.4%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
19:26, 0 - 1, Yrjanen K. (G), Haukijarvi T. (A), Seikkula K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:23, 0 - 2, Yrjanen K. (G), Seikkula H. (A), Seikkula K. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 4)
00:27, 0 - 3, Montonen A. (G),
03:38, 0 - 4, Yrjanen K. (G), Viitala S. (A), Talvitie E. (A2)
07:16, 0 - 5, Katajamaki N. (G),
14:11, 1 - 5, Molchun D. (G), Viitala V. (A), Wilkman D. (A2)
18:36, 1 - 6, Rantamaki K. (G), Montonen A. (A), Seikkula K. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 0.

HPK has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kiekko-Espoo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Recently, Kiekko-Espoo has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:62 (averaging 1.8:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HPK against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 12:28 goals (averaging 1.5:3.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Kiekko-Espoo W	12	11	0	1	0	62:15	34
3	Hameenlinna W	12	6	0	1	5	44:33	19

Last Results with these Odds

Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 59.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HPK Hockey Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
11.10.26	HPK - Kärpat	5:1 ✺
10.10.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HPK	5:2 ✺
04.10.26	HPK - Kuortane	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	HPK - Pelicans	6:1 ✺
27.09.26	Kuortane - HPK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL
- Kiekko-Espoo Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
11.10.26	Ilves - Kiekko-Espoo	3:5 ✺
10.10.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HPK	5:2 ✺
04.10.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HIFK	6:2 ✺
03.10.26	Kiekko-Espoo - TPS	6:0 ✺
27.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
10.10.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HPK	5:2
12.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HPK	3:1
08.04.26	HPK - Kiekko-Espoo	1:5
05.04.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HPK	3:2
03.04.26	HPK - Kiekko-Espoo	2:4
31.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HPK	2:4
28.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HPK	5:2

HPK - Kiekko-Espoo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide