Match Info

SHL - Play Out - Final

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Husqvarna Garden (Jönköping)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	HV71		Leksand

	1	X	2
	2.3	4.2	2.75	Watch
	2.18	3.95	2.85	Watch
	2.18	3.83	2.91
	2.13	3.91	2.95	Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.7
	2.13	4.1	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.35)	3.96 ↑ (3.65)	2.84 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

HV71
43.2%

Draw
23.7%

Leksand
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

25.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HV71 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Leksand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HV71 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HV71 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leksand than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

HV71 - Leksand Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
60. Sandstrom F. (G)	39. Larsson F. (G)
61. Rindell A.	8. Caito M.
82. Hatakka S.	33. Strandell O.
27. Ang J.	29. Lindqvist M.
70. Rousek L.	22. Vejdemo L. (C)
41. Woods R.	15. Veronneau M.
Line 2
19. Hansson N. (A)	10. Johansson A.
55. Borgman A.	6. Lundqvist A.
9. Pettersson H.	5. Kaderli A.
28. Kloos J. (A)	20. Stevens N.
21. Tedenby M.	9. Fortier G.
Line 3
38. Alsing O. (C)	3. Nilsson F.
44. Fransson H.	16. Langvardt R.
40. Stal-Lyrenas O.	14. Lang O.
24. Eriksson H.	4. Koblar T.
96. Pasic N.	34. Cehlarik P.
Line 4
78. Gustafsson M.	36. Milosevic S.
71. Nilsson W.	11. Nilsson W.
23. Laz V.	12. Ostman K. (A)
46. Luoto J.	7. Karlberg M.
Substitutes
35. Hoglind L. (G)	25. Christoffersson R. (G)
36. Johnsen M.	24. Eljas A. (A)
30. Lehtinen L. (G)	1. Gidlof M. (G)
Coaches
. Blomqvist A.	. Hedberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:51, Nilsson W. (2 min),
06:03, Hatakka S. (2 min),
08:53, 0 - 1, Lang O. (G), Stevens N. (A), Fortier G. (A2)
16:31, Stevens N. (2 min),
17:02, 1 - 1, Pettersson H. (G), Rindell A. (A), Ang J. (A2)
19:22, 2 - 1, Pettersson H. (G), Tedenby M. (A), Kloos J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
08:20, Nilsson F. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:31, 3 - 1, Borgman A. (G), Luoto J. (A), Nilsson W. (A2)
04:43, Laz V. (2 min),
07:22, Vejdemo L. (2 min),
07:22, Laz V. (2 min),
15:07, 3 - 2, Vejdemo L. (G),
16:06, Kaderli A. (2 min),

Preview

HV 71 leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone SHL (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone SHL (Play Out: )).

HV71 is SHL (Play Out )

Leksand is SHL (Play Out )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HV71 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that HV71 will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HV71 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 56:56. (average 2.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, HV71 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 2.5:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	HV 71	7	0	2	1	4	21:27	5

Last Results with these Odds

HV71 - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.77%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Leksand - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.62%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HV71
SHL
18.03.26	HV71 - Leksand	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Brynäs - HV71	3:4 OT ✺
12.03.26	HV71 - Växjö Lakers	3:0 ✺
10.03.26	Färjestad - HV71	7:3 ✺
07.03.26	Leksand - HV71	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWLL
- Leksands IF
SHL
18.03.26	HV71 - Leksand	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rögle - Leksand	6:2 ✺
12.03.26	Malmö Redhawks - Leksand	7:2 ✺
10.03.26	Leksand - Frölunda	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Leksand - HV71	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
18.03.26	HV71 - Leksand	2:1
07.03.26	Leksand - HV71	4:3
03.01.26	Leksand - HV71	5:4
15.11.25	HV71 - Leksand	5:0
30.09.25	HV71 - Leksand	2:1
01.02.25	HV71 - Leksand	1:3
30.01.25	Leksand - HV71	3:2

Upcoming Matches