The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartford Wolf Pack 34.9%
Draw 22.6%
Springfield Thunderbirds 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
24%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
25.4%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Wolf Pack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartford Wolf Pack's form might have worsened.
Springfield Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Springfield Thunderbirds's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartford Wolf Pack, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Springfield Thunderbirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hartford Wolf Pack - Springfield Thunderbirds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Tung C. (G)
1. Zherenko V. (G)
21. Blidh A. (A)
12. Bordeleau T.
19. Brisson B.
9. Buchinger M.
38. Dorrington J.
14. Dean Z.
4. Fitzgerald C. (C)
29. Dube D.
64. Fix-Wolansky T.
45. Gaudet M.
27. Jackson K.
41. Kaskimaki A.
59. Karpa Z.
4. Lindstein T.
26. Lamb B.
11. McGing H.
14. Mackey C. (A)
18. Pekarcik J.
18. McConnell-Barker B.
5. Ralph C.
5. Merisier-Ortiz C.
26. Robertsson S.
55. Morrow S.
43. Rosen C. (A)
28. Roobroeck D.
55. Skinner H.
58. Scanlin B.
49. Stancl J.
44. Sterzer C.
28. Stenberg O.
11. Terrance C.
16. Thomas A.
6. Thompson A.
77. Trudeau F.
23. Vaisanen K.
88. Wagner C. (C)
Substitutes
1. Ollas H. (G)
40. Cranley W. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
14:14, 1 - 0, Fix-Wolansky T. (G), Terrance C. (A), Mackey C. (A2)
16:38, 1 - 1, McGing H. (G), Ralph C. (A), Trudeau F. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
02:10, 1 - 2, Robertsson S. (G), Pekarcik J. (A), Stancl J. (A2)
08:32, 2 - 2, Fix-Wolansky T. (G), Karpa Z. (A), Mackey C. (A2)
13:37, 2 - 3, Kaskimaki A. (G), Dube D. (A), Rosen C. (A2)
15:18, 2 - 4, Thomas A. (G), Rosen C. (A), Kaskimaki A. (A2)
19:47, 2 - 5, McGing H. (G),
3rd Period (5 - 0)
00:35, 3 - 5, Lamb B. (G), Morrow S. (A), Fix-Wolansky T. (A2)
03:12, 4 - 5, Jackson K. (G), Morrow S. (A),
07:43, 5 - 5, Fitzgerald C. (G), Fix-Wolansky T. (A),
15:30, 6 - 5, Terrance C. (G), Dorrington J. (A),
18:19, 7 - 5, Fix-Wolansky T. (G),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1.
Hartford is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Springfield is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Springfield has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Springfield will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 66:72. (average 3.3:3.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 3.2:3.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Hartford Wolf Pack - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.35%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.
Springfield Thunderbirds - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.6%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Tung C. (G) 
Zherenko V. (G) 
Blidh A. (A) 
Bordeleau T. 
Kaskimaki A. 
Pekarcik J. 
Stancl J. 
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