Match Info

Date: 25 February 2022, Friday


	Hermes Kokkola		SaPKo

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.25	2.25
	2.35	3.9	2.35
	2.28	4.25	2.48
	2.44	4	2.33
	2.44	4.05	2.31
	2.45	4	2.3
	2.45	4.05	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.17)	4.07 ↓ (4.16)	2.35 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermes Kokkola
38.1%

Draw
22.6%

SaPKo
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

22.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

17.4%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

SaPKo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaPKo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SaPKo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hermes won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

SaPKo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Hermes won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 63-70.

Including matches at home between the teams Hermes won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 37-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hermes Kokkola
Finnish Mestis
22.02.22	Peliitat Heinola - Hermes Kokkola	4:2 ✺
18.02.22	Imatran Ketterä - Hermes Kokkola	5:2 ✺
17.02.22	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hermes Kokkola	3:2 OT ✺
15.02.22	Hermes Kokkola - IPK	4:2 ✺
12.02.22	Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW
- SaPKo
Finnish Mestis
22.02.22	SaPKo - TuTo	5:2 ✺
19.02.22	SaPKo - Peliitat Heinola	1:3 ✺
18.02.22	SaPKo - Koovee	4:0 ✺
16.02.22	KeuPa - SaPKo	2:1 OT ✺
12.02.22	Koovee - SaPKo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
11.12.21	Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo	3:5
08.10.21	SaPKo - Hermes Kokkola	2:0
07.02.20	Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo	5:2
10.01.20	SaPKo - Hermes Kokkola	2:0
04.12.19	Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo	3:0
23.11.19	SaPKo - Hermes Kokkola	4:1
Finnish Cup Hockey
20.09.19	SaPKo - Hermes Kokkola	1:4

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