Match Info
MestisDate: 13 February 2026, FridayLocation: PKS Areena (Joensuu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat |
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Hermes Kokkola |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.79 |
4.4 |
3.45 |
 Watch |
 |
1.84 |
3.76 |
3.05 |
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1.9 |
4.17 |
3.28 |
Watch |
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1.75 |
4.2 |
3.25 |
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1.83 |
4.25 |
3.27 |
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1.86 |
4.25 |
3.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.82) |
4.17 ↓
(4.28) |
3.23 ↓
(3.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
49.9% | Draw
21.9% | Hermes Kokkola
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Hermes Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (+3.5%)Joensuun Kiekko Pojat - Hermes Kokkola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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30.  Ahopelto J. (G)
| 31. Makela A. (G)
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3. Liiri N.
| 25. Gronblom T.
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4. Inhala J.
| 34. Lauri O.
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13.  Smith J.
| 11. Merilainen N.
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6. Hartikainen S.
| 50. Rautiainen J.
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19. Brygger J. (A)
| 10. Takala E. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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86. Sevanen R. (C)
| 33. Monkkonen M.
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33.  Kurbaka V.
| 45. Vainio J. (C)
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80. Vallius S.
| 71. Airo J. (A)
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97. Janhonen J.
| 51. Vahatalo J.
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17. Virtanen A.
| 20. Virolainen J.
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| Line 3 |
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2. Mikkola N.
| 16. Cederberg E.
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21. Laakso E.
| 19. Heinonen O.
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11. Taskula J.
| 22. Dommers V.
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20. Kokkola T. (A)
| 18. Niinisto J.
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10.  Kusy D.
| 17. Puikkonen T.
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| Line 4 |
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18. Wehmas J.
| 61. Hahl V.
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95. Matikainen K.
| 28. Honkasalo J.
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28. Suvanto N.
| 15. Ohtonen J.
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56. Haikonen A.
| 53. Ulvila A.
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| Substitutes |
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73. Kaskisuo K. (G)
| 35. Tapaninaho A. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 19:31, 0 - 1, Puikkonen T. (G), Dommers V. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 11:39, 1 - 1, Smith J. (G), Laakso E. (A), Kokkola T. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 00:59, 2 - 1, Taskula J. (G), Smith J. (A), Laakso E. (A2)
- 05:14, 2 - 2, Virolainen J. (G), Dommers V. (A), Vahatalo J. (A2)
- 11:43, 2 - 3, Merilainen N. (G), Niinisto J. (A), Monkkonen M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JoKP won 3.JoKP is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Hermes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).JoKP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, JoKP has had a series of away games. JoKP will hold a modest advantage in this match. We predict that Hermes will win today's game, with odds of 3.39.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JoKP won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:60. (average 3.1:3).Including home matches between the teams, JoKP won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 2.8:2.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 5 | Hermes | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22:25 | 10 |
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| 7 | Kiekko-Pojat | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24:34 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 13.01.26 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hermes Kokkola | 2:3 | | 04.12.25 | Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 7:6 penalties | | 03.10.25 | Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 1:4 | | 26.09.25 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hermes Kokkola | 2:1 | | 08.03.25 | Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 4:5 OT | | 07.03.25 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hermes Kokkola | 4:2 | | 05.03.25 | Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 2:3 OT |
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✺ - difficult match;
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