The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hermes Kokkola 39.5%
Draw 21.5%
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
20.3%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
20.7%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hermes Kokkola's form might have worsened.
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hermes Kokkola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko Pojat Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Ahopelto J. (G)
23. Kohonen P. (G)
77. Ahola A. (A)
73. Tuhkanen O.
43. Heinonen O.
6. Korkka O.
86. Maki E.
11. Taskula J.
73. Niinisto J.
20. Kokkola T. (A)
92. Toivonen V.
17. Karjalainen H. (A)
Line 2
33. Monkkonen M.
38. Ristola V.
5. Tikkanen T.
55. Koskela V.
45. Ekman T.
5. Sihvonen R.
51. Vahatalo J. (C)
97. Janhonen J.
48. Hult O.
80. Vallius S.
Line 3
4. Lehtinen E.
77. Fisk J.
6. Lauri O.
26. Lehikoinen A.
21. Pulli T.
82. Hult O.
24. Pennanen A.
51. Koskenkorva J. (C)
10. Takala E.
29. Lohisalo J.
Line 4
16. Cederberg E. (A)
39. Niemi E.
22. Aaltonen J.
19. Brygger J.
53. Ulvila A.
28. Suvanto N.
97. Vesaaja J.
Substitutes
79. Saarinen K. (G)
56. Haikonen A.
30. Rembetti C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
04:16, 1 - 0, Hult O. (G),
13:56, 1 - 1, Sihvonen R. (G), Vallius S. (A), Janhonen J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:30, 1 - 2, Sihvonen R. (G), Tuhkanen O. (A), Janhonen J. (A2)
19:29, 2 - 2, Maki E. (G), Toivonen V. (A), Ahola A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
04:36, 3 - 2, Pulli T. (G), Heinonen O. (A), Pennanen A. (A2)
06:23, 3 - 3, Taskula J. (G), Karjalainen H. (A), Koskela V. (A2)
14:01, 3 - 4, Taskula J. (G),
17:03, 4 - 4, Takala E. (G), Vahatalo J. (A), Pulli T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hermes won 3.
In recent outings, Hermes has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
JoKP has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hermes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Hermes in today's match, at odds of 2.35.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hermes has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:59 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hermes against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 36:32 goals (averaging 3.6:3.2 per game).
Finland
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Ahopelto J. (G) 
Rembetti C. (G) 
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