Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS - RELEGATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	Hokki		Forssan Palloseura

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.75	4.1
	1.57	4.85	4.25	Watch
	1.55	4.75	3.7
	1.58	4.7	4.36
	1.57	4.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)	4.71 ↑ (4.7)	4.14 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hokki
58.3%

Draw
19.5%

Forssan Palloseura
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

19.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

17.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Forssan Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hokki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forssan Palloseura than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forssan Palloseura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hokki - Forssan Palloseura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:29, 1 - 0, Tiuraniemi V. (G), Jokinen J. (A), Mykkanen J. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 1)
00:17, 2 - 0, Myllyaho A. (G), Jokinen J. (A), Mikkola N. (A2)
02:38, 3 - 0, Jokinen J. (G), Myllyaho A. (A), Komulainen T. (A2)
07:35, 4 - 0, Jokinen J. (G), Tiuraniemi V. (A), Mikkola N. (A2)
16:33, 4 - 1, Zahradnik S. (G), Martin B. (A), Fagerstrom J. (A2)
18:29, 5 - 1, Parviainen J. (G), Aaltonen J. (A), Hahl V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15:53, 6 - 1, Parviainen J. (G), Nieminen E. (A),

Preview

5th leg. Hokki leads series 3-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hokki won 4.

Recent matches Hokki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

FPS is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hokki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hokki to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hokki won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 60-62.

Including matches at home between the teams Hokki won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 34-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
20.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	2:5 ✺
19.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	4:3 ✺
15.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	5:2 ✺
07.03.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL
- Forssan Palloseura
Finnish Mestis
20.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	2:5 ✺
19.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	4:3 ✺
15.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	5:2 ✺
07.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Kiekko-Espoo	5:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
20.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	2:5
19.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	4:1
16.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	4:3
15.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	5:2
23.02.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	1:2
19.01.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	4:0
15.12.23	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	5:2

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