Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Kajaanin jäähalli (Kajaani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Hokki		Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat

	1	X	2
	2.73	4.07	2.06
	2.83	4.24	2.08	Watch
	2.75	4	2.05
	2.81	4.1	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.76)	4.1 ↑ (4.06)	2.07 (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hokki
33.1%

Draw
22.4%

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

22.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

22.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko Pojat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
71. Salonen D. (G)	30. Markkanen J. (G)
8. Mykkanen J.	3. Liiri N.
28. Andzans A.	84. Gronlund N.
27. Aaltonen J.	11. Taskula J. (A)
19. Homjakovs A.	92. Kokkola T.
63. Jokinen J. (C)	61. Brygger J. (A)
Line 2
38. Ilvessuo J.	24. Juvonen J.
4. Heiskanen T.	26. Lehikoinen A.
9. Suni O.	14. Sedlacek I.
25. Fagerstrom J.	93. Sille T.
22. Juhola J.	44. Nieminen K.
Line 3
77. Nissinen T.	22. Mikkola N.
11. Koskenkorva S. (A)	6. Lauri O.
83. Vahakangas K.	29. Lohisalo J.
12. Ohtonen J. (A)	28. Suvanto N.
15. Pellikka A.	67. Merilainen N.
Line 4
7. Rajala A.	10. Maenpaa K.
29. Kaski T.	72. Viitala J.
91. Tuomainen N.	19. Isiguzo P. (C)
87. Karasa A.	17. Vahaniitty R.
Substitutes
33. Nieminen E. (G)	33. Ahopelto J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:13, 1 - 0, Fagerstrom J. (G), Suni O. (A),
02:05, 1 - 1, Lehikoinen A. (G), Isiguzo P. (A), Merilainen N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
10:53, 1 - 2, Mikkola N. (G), Kokkola T. (A), Merilainen N. (A2)
15:43, 2 - 2, Homjakovs A. (G), Jokinen J. (A), Suni O. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:23, 3 - 2, Jokinen J. (G), Suni O. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hokki won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently JoKP have a series of home games.

JoKP will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hokki won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 55:83 (average 2.8:4.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hokki won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 30:36 (average 3:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
24.01.25	IPK - Hokki	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Hokki - TuTo	5:2 ✺
17.01.25	Hokki - Kiekko-Vantaa	3:0 ✺
11.01.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	4:2 ✺
08.01.25	Hokki - Hermes Kokkola	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL
- Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
Finnish Mestis
24.01.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - TuTo	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Imatran Ketterä - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:1 ✺
17.01.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Jokerit	1:2 OT ✺
11.01.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	4:2 ✺
10.01.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
11.01.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	4:2
15.11.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:1
26.10.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:4
18.09.24	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	4:2
07.03.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:4
21.11.23	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	4:1
16.11.23	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:3 penalties

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