Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis - Relegation - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Kajaanin jäähalli (Kajaani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Hokki		KeuPa

	1	X	2
	2.8	4	1.98
	2.8	4.05	2.1
	3.06	4.21	1.95	Watch
	2.9	3.9	1.91
	3.09	4	1.99	Watch
	2.8	4.05	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.6)	4.04 ↑ (3.95)	2.01 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hokki
31.5%

Draw
22.7%

KeuPa
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

23.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

23.2%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

KeuPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Hokki - KeuPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
33. Nieminen E. (G)	35. Nauseda F. (G)
7. Rajala A.	4. Kuusela K.
11. Koskenkorva S.	63. Niku T.
83. Vahakangas K.	80. Grinius M.
26. Ojala J.	89. Linjala M.
22. Juhola J.	67. Curri R.
Line 2
8. Mykkanen J.	6. Lahtinen M.
4. Heiskanen T.	26. Tuupanen T.
16. Virtanen J.	23. Korjus J.
12. Ohtonen J.	20. Jaatinen O.
63. Jokinen J.	16. Helander J.
Line 3
91. Tuomainen N.	85. Karhapaa I.
87. Karasa A.	2. Kesajarvi A.
25. Fagerstrom J.	51. Kangasniemi E.
15. Pellikka A.	14. Siekkinen J.
	25. Keteli K.
Line 4
	3. Mannikko T.
	18. Utriainen O.
	29. Parviainen J.
	74. Rantanen J.
Substitutes
27. Aaltonen J.	34. Helander J. (G)
71. Nikkila N. (G)
28. Rautiainen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
13:31, 0 - 1, Korjus J. (G), Jaatinen O. (A), Helander J. (A2)
15:12, 0 - 2, Utriainen O. (G), Kesajarvi A. (A), Korjus J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
12:33, 0 - 3, Linjala M. (Penalty Shot),
16:31, 0 - 4, Grinius M. (G), Curri R. (A), Karhapaa I. (A2)

Preview

4th leg. KeuPa leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hokki won 2.

Hokki is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches KeuPa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hokki won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 46:73 (average 2.3:3.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Hokki won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:29 (average 2.8:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
14.03.25	KeuPa - Hokki	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Hokki - KeuPa	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	KeuPa - Hokki	3:3 ✺
01.03.25	Hokki - RoKi	1:6 ✺
26.02.25	Hermes Kokkola - Hokki	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL
- KeuPa HT
Finnish Mestis
14.03.25	KeuPa - Hokki	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Hokki - KeuPa	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	KeuPa - Hokki	3:3 ✺
01.03.25	KeuPa - Jokerit	0:3 ✺
26.02.25	Imatran Ketterä - KeuPa	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
14.03.25	KeuPa - Hokki	2:1
08.03.25	Hokki - KeuPa	2:0
07.03.25	KeuPa - Hokki	3:3
21.02.25	KeuPa - Hokki	4:0
07.02.25	Hokki - KeuPa	3:2
08.12.24	Hokki - KeuPa	3:2
27.09.24	KeuPa - Hokki	3:1

Upcoming Matches