The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves U20 55%
Draw 19.6%
TPS U20 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
21.6%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
23.4%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Ilves U20 - TPS U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
09:27, 0 - 1, Fugleberg P. (G), Kallio W. (A), Laine L. (A2)
13:36, 0 - 2, Kallio W. (G), Laine L. (A), Parssinen J. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 2)
02:25, 1 - 2, Rinne O. (G), Zwikel M. (A), Karttu K. (A2)
07:17, 2 - 2, Melanen J. (G), Poikela M. (A),
11:56, 2 - 3, Fugleberg P. (G), Kallio W. (A),
13:19, 3 - 3, Savolainen N. (G), Rinne R. (A), Hynninen T. (A2)
17:34, 3 - 4, Uusikartano A. (G), Fugleberg P. (A), Parssinen J. (A2)
19:16, 4 - 4, Liljeberg M. (G), Myllyniemi M. (A), Nyberg J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:10, 5 - 4, Myllyniemi M. (G), Nippala J. (A), Kuitunen O. (A2)
16:27, 5 - 5, Keinanen K. (G), Laine L. (A), Vahalahti E. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Surlak O. (Penalty Shot),
1, Melanen J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Parssinen J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nyberg J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Fugleberg P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Liljeberg M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kallio W. (Penalty Shot),
4, Poikela M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Uusikartano A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Petaja K. (Penalty Shot),
6, Poikela M. (Penalty Shot),
6, Uusikartano A. (Penalty Shot),
7, Liljeberg M. (Penalty Shot),
7, Schmidt A. (Penalty Shot),
8, Nyberg J. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 3.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Ilves U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, TPS U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ilves U20 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Ilves U20 has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 69:59 (averaging 3.8:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 27:20 goals (averaging 3.9:2.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Ilves U20
10
4
1
1
4
36:43
15
11
TPS U20
11
3
0
4
4
30:41
13
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves U20 - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 51.6%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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