The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Iowa Wild 35%
Draw 22.6%
Charlotte Checkers 42.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
22.4%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
23.4%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iowa Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iowa Wild's form might have worsened.
Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlotte Checkers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iowa Wild, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte Checkers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 5th in the Promotion - AHL Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - AHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 0.
Iowa is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Charlotte has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Charlotte may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Iowa has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Iowa has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:72 (averaging 2.3:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Iowa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 28:43 goals (averaging 2.5:3.9 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Charlotte Checkers: 5.48% Iowa Wild: 1.17%
Last Results with these Odds
Iowa Wild - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Charlotte Checkers - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.