Match Info

AHL - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Bojangles Coliseum (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Charlotte Checkers		Springfield Thunderbirds

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.33	3.6	Watch
	1.81	4.2	3.45
	1.67	4.72	3.82
	1.59	4.99	4.16	Watch
	1.7	4.33	3.5
	1.64	4.45	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)	4.5 ↑ (4.34)	3.75 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Checkers
54.9%

Draw
20.5%

Springfield Thunderbirds
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

21.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

22.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlotte Checkers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Black C. (G)	30. Romanov G. (G)
2. Benning M. (A)	12. Bordeleau T.
40. Bjornfot T. (A)	9. Buchinger M.
5. Carrick T. (C)	14. Dean Z.
36. Chorske B.	29. Dube D.
4. Devine J.	45. Gaudet M.
28. Foote N.	33. Gauthier J.
39. Gaber R.	41. Kaskimaki A.
17. Gregor N.	4. Lindstein T.
14. Hovorka M.	11. McGing H.
12. Huard C.	37. Newpower W.
3. Jansson L.	18. Pekarcik J.
7. Mastrosimone R.	22. Peterson D.
26. Pinho B.	5. Ralph C.
25. Skoog W.	43. Rosen C. (A)
15. Smith N.	49. Stancl J.
6. Steeves B.	28. Stenberg O.
23. Studnicka J.	16. Thomas A.
29. Vilmanis S.	88. Wagner C. (C)
Substitutes
20. Gerasimyuk K. (G)	1. Zherenko V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
05:58, 1 - 0, Bjornfot T. (G), Studnicka J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:45, 1 - 1, Kaskimaki A. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
14:54, 1 - 2, Dean Z. (G), Stenberg O. (A),

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Second leg.

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Charlotte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Charlotte has had a series of home games.

In this match, Charlotte is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 80:54. (average 4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:28. (average 4.5:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Checkers
AHL
24.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:5 ✺
22.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	8:1 ✺
19.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLW
- Springfield Thunderbirds
AHL
24.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:5 ✺
22.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	8:1 ✺
18.04.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Hartford Wolf Pack	4:3 ✺
17.04.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Springfield Thunderbirds	7:5 ✺
15.04.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
24.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:5
22.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	8:1
28.02.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Charlotte Checkers	5:1
27.02.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Charlotte Checkers	2:3 OT
14.01.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	8:2
13.01.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	8:2
21.12.25	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	4:3 OT

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