The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charlotte Checkers 44.8%
Draw 22.6%
Springfield Thunderbirds 32.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.2%
22.7%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
22.7%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlotte Checkers's performance.
Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Springfield Thunderbirds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlotte Checkers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Springfield Thunderbirds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Gerasimyuk K. (G)
40. Cranley W. (G)
27. Alscher M.
9. Buchinger M.
17. Bastian N.
8. Carbonneau J.
16. Beecher J.
14. Dean Z.
28. Chorske B.
37. Finley J.
9. Crookshank A.
6. Fischer L.
4. Devine J.
48. Koromyslov A.
37. Entwistle M.
4. Lindstein T.
5. Fitzgerald C.
18. Pekarcik J.
22. Gaber R.
22. Peterson D.
14. Hovorka M.
5. Ralph C.
18. Lafferty S.
26. Robertsson S.
7. Mastrosimone R.
43. Rosen C.
36. Petrovic A.
21. Stancl J.
24. Sawchyn G.
25. Stange S.
6. Sebrango D.
70. Sundqvist O.
2. Shuravin M.
77. Trudeau F.
15. Smith N.
17. Tynan T.J.
19. St. Martin H.
12. Walker N.
Substitutes
30. Muszelik T. (G)
30. Romanov G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
05:51, 0 - 1, Lindstein T. (G), Buchinger M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:32, 1 - 1, Devine J. (G), Crookshank A. (A), Petrovic A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
06:32, 1 - 2, Peterson D. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3.
Charlotte is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Springfield is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, Springfield has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Charlotte in today's match, at odds of 2.54.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:52 (averaging 3.8:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Charlotte against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 49:32 goals (averaging 4.1:2.7 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Charlotte Checkers: 5.48% Springfield Thunderbirds: 1.74%
Last Results with these Odds
Charlotte Checkers - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
Springfield Thunderbirds - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.12%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Gerasimyuk K. (G) 
Cranley W. (G) 
Alscher M. 
Beecher J. 
Lindstein T. 
Pekarcik J. 
Walker N. 
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