Match Info

AHL

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wells Fargo Arena (Des Moines, IA) 🌤️ ...


	Iowa Wild		San Diego Gulls

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.2	2.1
	2.8	3.6	2.25
	2.65	3.95	2.21
	2.64	4.13	2.18	Watch
	2.62	3.75	2.2
	2.66	4.2	2.17	Watch
	2.65	3.95	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.68)	3.97 ↓ (4.15)	2.19 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iowa Wild
34.8%

Draw
23.2%

San Diego Gulls
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

22.4%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

22.2%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iowa Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

San Diego Gulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Iowa Wild - San Diego Gulls Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Hlavaj S. (G)	33. Clara D. (G)
19. Bankier C.	12. Bailey J.
72. Boyd T. (A)	22. Carpenter R. (C)
92. Clarke G.	28. Caulfield J.
11. Fontaine G.	3. Heatherington D. (A)
43. Haight H.	5. Hinds T.
18. Jones B. (A)	24. Howe T.
7. Lambos C.	39. Lindmark O.
29. MacEachern C.	10. Lopina J.
23. Madden T.	6. Luneau T.
49. Masters K.	37. McKeown R. (A)
28. Ohgren L.	29. Moore I.
22. O'Rourke R. (A)	21. Myatovic N.
3. Peart J.	11. Mysak J.
74. Raska A.	16. Pastujov S.
13. Sandelin R.	14. Pitre C.
21. Spacek D.	19. Sidorov Y.
27. Toporowski L.	7. Solberg S.
4. Zmolek W.	15. Twarynski C.
Substitutes
34. Rousseau W. (G)	32. Buteyets V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
19:48, 1 - 0, Clarke G. (G), Boyd T. (A), Spacek D. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:50, 2 - 0, Ohgren L. (G), Spacek D. (A), Boyd T. (A2)
19:11, 3 - 0, Lambos C. (G), Madden T. (A), Boyd T. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
15:34, 3 - 1, McKeown R. (G), Pastujov S. (A), Luneau T. (A2)
16:01, 4 - 1, Haight H. (G),
16:39, 5 - 1, Jones B. (G), Madden T. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 6 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iowa won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

San Diego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Iowa have a series of guest games.

Recently San Diego have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Iowa won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 66:63 (average 3.3:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Iowa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32:28 (average 3.6:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Iowa Wild - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.64%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iowa Wild
AHL
04.04.25	Iowa Wild - San Diego Gulls	4:2 ✺
02.04.25	Texas Stars - Iowa Wild	2:6 ✺
01.04.25	Texas Stars - Iowa Wild	1:4 ✺
29.03.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Iowa Wild	4:2 ✺
28.03.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Iowa Wild	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLL
- San Diego Gulls
AHL
04.04.25	Iowa Wild - San Diego Gulls	4:2 ✺
02.04.25	San Diego Gulls - Abbotsford Canucks	3:6 ✺
29.03.25	San Diego Gulls - Calgary Wranglers	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	San Diego Gulls - Tucson Roadrunners	5:1 ✺
26.03.25	San Diego Gulls - San Jose Barracuda	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
04.04.25	Iowa Wild - San Diego Gulls	4:2
15.01.25	San Diego Gulls - Iowa Wild	5:7
08.01.25	San Diego Gulls - Iowa Wild	5:1
27.01.24	Iowa Wild - San Diego Gulls	4:7
26.01.24	Iowa Wild - San Diego Gulls	3:6
13.01.24	San Diego Gulls - Iowa Wild	1:2 OT
12.01.24	San Diego Gulls - Iowa Wild	3:2 penalties

Iowa Wild - San Diego Gulls: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide